I grew up knowing that Mars
was the home of intelligence.
But telescopes got better.
When cameras replaced eyes, the
canali went away. The more we learned, the less hospitable Mars
became. I published my first stories in the days when human-built robots
were sending data back from every world in the solar system. None of them
showed signs of life.
It was becoming obvious:
if we wish to learn of intelligent life in the universe, the taking of
Mars will teach us only about ourselves.
We will learn our limits.
In those early stories I
took an extreme position. Mars is not wanted. The wealth and the opportunities
are all in the asteroids
and outer moons. A planet is a gravity well: the bottom of a hole.
Extreme positions are more
interesting than compromises. Still, why do we want Mars?

My viewpoint may be peculiar. I've wanted to walk the surfaces of other worlds ever since I found Heinlein. Any excuse will do.

1. Knowledge is always of
value, and the value is never predictable. This, at least, we are doing
right. We are learning what we can of Mars, for its own sake. What will
come of it, we cannot know.
But a science fiction writer
can guess. Try this:
Five billion years of water
erosion is hell on the geological record. The geological history of Mars
may be easier to read than Earth's. If Mars can tell us anything of ice
ages, then we will have learned something of the behavior of the sun. We
may be able to predict our own next ice age ... or heat
age.
Then what? Freeman Dyson
has said, "It's best not to limit our thinking. We can always air condition
the Earth."
* * *
2. We'll be sending more
little wheeled robots. The ambition to put a tiny automated airplane on
Mars hasn't died. VR sets get smaller, cheaper, more dependable. A martian
entertainment industry waits to be born.
We could all be flying or
wheeling over the surface of Mars in virtual reality.
VR channels could pay for
the space program.
* * *
3. There are better ways
of reaching orbit than rockets. A teacher under the czar, Konstantin Tsiolkovsky,
described what we now call an orbital tower, or Beanstalk: a cable roughly
a hundred thousand miles long, its lower end anchored on the Earth's equator,
its center of mass in geosynchronous orbit. Use it as an elevator cable.
Launch from the far end, you're beyond Mars or inward from Venus.
Half a dozen other devices
exist, all still imaginary, each an attempt to design a rocket-free launching
system.
Despite conceptual improvements,
the Beanstalk is still the most costly, but also the most convenient. But
each of these skyhooks would be very expensive to build and very cheap
to run: a few dollars per kilogram to orbit. They have more in common:
Each requires materials we
can't manufacture yet, though such materials are well within theoretical
limits.
Each holds awesome energies
imprisoned. After all, each was built to transfer awesome energies to a
spacecraft and (in some cases) collect it again by decelerating the spacecraft.
Any such device would be a disaster of awesome proportions, if its energies
were accidentally released on Earth.
Most of these skyhooks depend
on low gravity and high rotation. The Beanstalk, for instance, won't work
at all on any world in the solar system, barring Earth and Mars. Mars is
smaller and spins just as fast.
And each would be safer,
smaller, cheaper and require less robust materials if built on Mars. If
something went wrong, no city would die, and Mars could bear the scars.
If we are to claim the solar
system, we need Mars as a test bed for skyhooks.
Robert Forward has made an
extensive study of orbital tethers. He intends to build and sell them.
He's starting small, with a tether designed to drop a used-up satellite
out of orbit.
* * *
4. To take the universe,
we must learn how to build habitats, and how to reshape worlds. By the
time we set our feet on Mars, we will know a little about both.
The Apollo
capsules weren't much of a habitat. There was no attempt at recycling.
There wasn't room for the kind of exercise that could keep a human being
human during years in free fall. Artificial gravity wasn't even considered.
A mission to Mars would need
all of that. A habitat on Mars would benefit from all we will have learned
from the taking of the moon.
* * *
5. We're already learning
how to reshape a world: the Earth.
We speculate that Mars could
be made habitable -- by releasing buried water or water in hydration, by
warming the planet, or by bashing it with comets.
(The skyhooks come first.
To reach the comets, bringing enough horsepower to hurl them into the inner
solar system, we will need easy access to orbit.)
* * *
6. It bothers me a little
to be so treating a planet as raw material. Arrogance may come naturally
to me, but I remember wanting Mars because it was . . . well, Mars.
If I've slighted your own
reasons for claiming Mars, forgive me. My viewpoint may be peculiar. I've
wanted to walk the surfaces of other worlds ever since I found Heinlein.
Any excuse will do.
* * *
7. A successful species evolves
in many directions. Species that follow one line of development, like humans
or horses, are unusual, and it isn't a mark of success. Where did Homo
erectus go, anyway?
If we do not first destroy
ourselves, we will make our own aliens.
If we intend to take the
universe for ourselves, we will need Mars. Our selves will change in the
process.
The martians may not remain
human. The entities that reach the nearest star may be beyond imagination.
The trick is to remain adaptable.
What do you think? Send your
comments to the editor.