Every 11 years solar activity reaches a fever pitch: Solar flares erupt near
sunspots on a daily basis. Coronal mass ejections, billion-ton clouds of magnetized
gas, fly away from the Sun and buffet the planets. Even the Sun's awesome magnetic
field -- as large as the solar system itself -- grows unstable and flips.
It's a turbulent time called Solar Max.
The most recent (and ongoing) Solar Max crested in mid-2000. Sunspot counts
were higher than they had been in 10 years, and solar activity was intense.
One remarkable eruption on July 14, 2000 -- the so-called "Bastille Day Event"
-- sparked brilliant auroras as far south as Texas, caused electrical brownouts,
and temporarily disabled some satellites.
After that, sunspot counts slowly declined and the Sun was relatively quiet
for month-long stretches. Solar Max was subsiding.
Scientists track solar cycles by counting sunspots -- cool planet-sized areas
on the Sun where intense magnetic loops poke through the star's visible surface.
Hathaway is an expert forecaster of sunspot numbers. "Sunspot counts peaked
in 2000 some months earlier than we expected," he recalls. The subsequent dip
toward solar minimum seemed premature to Hathaway, and indeed it was. Before
long, sunspot counts reversed course and began to climb toward a second maximum
that now appears to be only a few percent smaller than the first.
Solar Max eleven years ago was much the same. A first peak arrived in mid-1989
followed by a smaller maximum in early 1991. In fact, if the ongoing cycle proves
to be a double, it will be the third such double-peaked cycle in a row.
During solar maximum, magnetic fields above the Sun's surface become impressively
tangled, particularly near sunspots. Twisted magnetic fields -- stretched like
taut rubber bands -- can snap back and explode, powering solar flares and coronal
mass ejections.
Sunspots are the most visible sign of those complex magnetic fields -- but
not the only one. Another sign is solar radio emissions, which come from hot
gas trapped in magnetic loops. "The radio Sun is even brighter now than it was
in 2000," says Hathaway. By the radio standard, this second peak is larger than
the first.
Hathaway notes a widespread misconception that solar activity varies every
11 years "like a pure sinusoid." In fact, he says, solar activity is chaotic;
there is more than one period.
Earth-directed solar explosions, for instance, tend to happen every 27 days
-- the time it takes for sunspots to rotate once around the Sun. There is also
an occasional 155-day cycle of solar flares. No one knows what causes it. And
the double peaks of recent solar maxima are separated by approximately 18 months.
The source of all this variability is the turbulent Sun itself. The outermost
third of our star -- the "convective zone" -- is boiling like hot water on a
stove. California-sized bubbles rise 200,000 km from the base of the zone to
the Sun's surface where they turn over and "pop," releasing heat (generated
by nuclear reactions in the core) to space. Below the convective zone lies the
"radiative zone" -- a calmer region where photons, not mass motions, transport
the Sun's energy outward. Says Hathaway: "The Sun's magnetic field is generated
at the boundary between these two layers where strong electric currents flow."
Magnetic fields are produced by electric currents -- that is, charges in motion.
The Sun itself is a conducting fluid. Our star is so hot that the atoms within
it are mostly ionized; their nuclei are separated from their electrons. As a
result, relative motions between neighboring layers of ionized gas carry currents
and spawn magnetic fields. "The rotational velocity of the Sun changes suddenly
near the convective-radiative boundary," says Hathaway. "The velocity shear
is what drives the so-called solar magnetic dynamo."
Last year, scientists using a technique called helioseismology, which can probe
conditions within the Sun much like seismic waves reveal the interior structure
of our planet, announced that currents of gas at the base of the convective
zone speed and slacken every 16 months.
"That's about the same as the time between the double peaks of recent solar
maxima," notes Hathaway. Perhaps the two are connected. "It's hard to be sure,"
he cautions, because the detailed inner workings of stellar magnetic dynamos
remain a mystery. "Helioseismology of the Sun, which can probe beneath its visible
surface, is still a young field. We need more time to understand completely
how the internal rhythms of our star affect the solar cycle."
Whatever the cause, a resurgent Sun is welcome news for many sky watchers.
Solar eruptions can trigger one of the most beautiful spectacles on our planet:
Northern Lights. If the Sun continues to storm, the skies could be alight, off
and on, for many months to come.