PARIS (AP) -- Airbus, which has delivered more
airplanes than Boeing for the second year in a row, is about to unveil another
No. 1: the world's largest passenger jet.
The A380, a four-aisle, four-engine, double-decker
"superjumbo," will roll onto the tarmac Tuesday at Airbus headquarters in
southern France, in a lavish ceremony attended by EU leaders and thousands of
guests.
Sales have beat expectations so far, and most of the
technical problems that have dogged the program have been resolved, at a
price.
But the real sighs of relief won't be heard in
Toulouse until later -- sometime before March 31, Airbus says _ when the A380
hauls its 280-metric ton (308-ton) frame aloft.
That's when the plane's engineers will begin to find
out whether their gargantuan offspring lives up to the performance promises, as
the first test-flight data streams in.
In a standard three-class cabin configuration, the
A380 will carry 555 passengers _ one-third more than the plane it is designed to
displace, the Boeing 747.
On a full tank, it will also carry them 5 percent
further than Boeing's longest-range jumbo, Airbus claims, producing costs per
passenger that are up to one-fifth below its rival's.
Meeting these targets has been "no picnic," Airbus
CEO Noel Forgeard acknowledged Wednesday, when he also confirmed that the A380
is both over budget and slightly overweight.
Forgeard said the plane will weigh in about 1 percent
heavier than its target of 277 metric tons (305 tons) but stressed it will still
deliver on promised fuel efficiency and other guarantees, since the internal
benchmark was deliberately overambitious.
He said the program's $1.9 billion overspend -- 18
percent of its $10.7 billion overall budget at current exchange rates -- would
likely be trimmed by a renewed cost-cutting drive.
The struggle to meet weight targets accounts for much
of the overspending, Airbus officials say. Jean-Claude Schoepf, head of the A380
final assembly line, said the problem became a headache early on.
"We found there was too much mass," Schoepf said. "We
had to work pretty hard to get back to the specifications we'd committed
ourselves to with our clients."
Parts went back to the drawing board to be
meticulously pared down, without sacrificing strength. More carbon composites
were introduced _ for example, in the horizontal struts that support the two
cabin floors and hold the fuselage in shape.
By using chromate-free paint, engineers got the outer
paintwork down to about 350 kilograms (770 pounds), Schoepf said. ''That's
compared to 550 kilograms (1,210 pounds) for a plane of this size using other
paints."
At the giant hangar where Schoepf and his 1,500
engineers and support staff work, wings, nose cones and fuselage sections arrive
by road convoys after being transported by barges from Bordeaux, western France,
where they come in from Airbus facilities in Spain, Britain, Germany and
elsewhere in France.
By 2008, Schoepf plans to hire another 1,000 staff to
boost the production rate to one A380 per week.
Airbus has 139 firm A380 orders from 13 airlines and
freight companies, worth $39 billion before any discounts on the plane's $280
million list price. A new 747 costs up to $211 million before
discounts.
The backlog will rise when UPS Inc. finalizes a deal
to acquire 10 of the A380's freighter versions, with options on 10
more.
The European Aeronautic Defence and Space Co., which
owns 80 percent of Airbus, says the A380 program will break even at about 250
sales.
Over the next 20 years, Airbus sees global demand for
1,250 A380-size behemoths to shuttle passengers between the world's largest
airports, which serve as connecting hubs for flights to less busy
destinations.
More than half the new superjumbos will fly between
just 10 major airports, Airbus forecasts, mainly in Asia. Singapore Airlines
Ltd. is scheduled to become the first carrier to operate the A380, in the second
half of 2006.
Chicago-based Boeing Co., like Airbus, expects
overall air passenger traffic to increase threefold over the next two decades.
But Boeing forecasts only ''a few hundred'' sales of very large planes, as
travelers reject stopovers in favor of direct service aboard smaller long-range
jets -- like its fuel-efficient 7E7 Dreamliner, due to enter service in
2008.
"The data shows unquestionably that passengers, when
they can, want to fly from wherever they are to wherever they're going, without
having to connect in a hub,'' said Boeing spokesman Todd Blecher. "The A380 is
flying into the headwind of reality."
But Boeing, which delivered 285 planes in 2004 to
Airbus' 320, is hedging its bets. It announced plans last year for a larger,
450-seat 747, despite having dismissed the case for a bigger plane since Airbus
began discussing the concept in 1991. A launch decision is expected in
mid-2005.
Whichever way the wind blows in Toulouse on Tuesday,
the A380 seems certain to become a milestone in civil aviation history alongside
the 747 and Concorde. Unlike the supersonic Concorde, however, whose claim to
fame was how fast it crossed the Atlantic, this latest fruit of European
aerospace cooperation will ultimately be judged on how fast it makes
money.