NASA's
rollout of a strategy to return people to the Moon and eventually plant
footprints on the distant sands of Mars is sparking both praise and criticism.
Michael
Griffin, NASA's administrator, publicly unveiled yesterday
the space agency's $104 billion mastermind of a mission that puts astronauts
back on the moon by 2018, setting the stage for future expeditionary trips to
the red planet.
New space
travel hardware - a Crew
Exploration Vehicle and the requisite boosters for tossing people and cargo
beyond low Earth orbit - is part of the must-have agenda.
But
analogous to one of Newton's laws of physics that drives rocketry -- but in a
21st century context -- for every action plan there is always an
equal but opposite reaction.
Lacks
pizzazz, budgetary timing
Editorial
pundits, such as the New York Times, while saluting NASA's "Apollo on
steroids" approach, also noted: "Unfortunately, the new plan lacks the pizzazz
to inspire public support and will be operating under budget constraints that
make delays or overruns likely."
NASA's Moon, Mars and
beyond roadmap also prompted House Science Committee Chairman Sherwood
Boehlert, a Republican from New York, to applaud the exploration architecture,
while underscoring budgetary concerns.
Boehlert congratulated
NASA's chief, Michael Griffin and his team on the "very thorough work" they
have done. "While we are still reviewing the details, it appears that NASA has
come up with an effective way to move forward, making the most of past U.S.
investments in human space travel to enable us to enter the next phase of
exploration in the safest, least expensive and most efficient way."
That being said, Boehlert
added: "The question Congress and the Administration will still have to grapple
with most is not the nature or desirability of the exploration architecture,
but rather its timing."
The lawmaker cited funding
shortfalls in the space shuttle program, explaining that there is simply "no
credible way" to accelerate the development of the shuttle follow-on - the Crew
Exploration Vehicle -- unless the NASA budget increases more than has been
anticipated.
"Whether such an increase
is a good idea in the context of overall federal spending at this time is
something neither Congress nor the Administration has yet
determined."
Positive and negative
features
Mars
Society President, Robert Zubrin, assessed the new NASA plan, spotting
significant positive and negative features.
"On the
positive side, it recognizes the need for the development of a true heavy-lift
launch vehicle, and takes concrete steps the preserve the shuttle industrial
infrastructure necessary to produce such a vehicle," Zubrin told SPACE.com.
The importance of doing so "cannot be overemphasized," he added.
The
heavy-lift booster is absolutely necessary to enable human exploration of the
Moon and Mars,
Zubrin said, with Griffin reversing his predecessor's "unworkable" space
architecture concepts.
Zubrin also
said there is negative aspect to the heavy-lift launch vehicle decision.
While
preserving the heavy-lifter infrastructure, the plan relegates its development
to a subsequent administration. "In consequence, for the next 13 years, NASA
will continue to send crew after crew up and down to low Earth orbit, at a cost
of some $70 billion, for no justifiable purpose whatsoever."
In the
post-Columbia accident world, Griffin and others "have made the point that if
we are to accept the costs and risks of human spaceflight, we should be
undertaking missions that are worthy of those costs and risks," Zubrin
explained. "But for the next 13 years, we will continue not do so."
NASA is
acting in accord with President George W. Bush's "Vision for Space
Exploration" as enunciated in January 2004, Zubrin said. "That policy,
however, was formulated by a White House which lacked a competent NASA
administrator to advise it. Now that we have a qualified NASA administrator,
this policy needs to be revisited and reformulated," he concluded.
Reasonable,
pending detailed definition
NASA's ambition to
hurl astronauts back to the Moon prompted thoughts from one person that can
already claim "been there, done that" bragging rights - Apollo 17 astronaut
Harrison Schmitt, a geologist and former U.S. Senator from New Mexico.
"I have great respect for President Bush's Moon-Mars initiative and for
Administrator Michael Griffin and his maturing management and engineering team
in NASA," Schmitt told SPACE.com. "The broad architecture would
appear to be reasonable, pending detailed definition of the major technical and
budgetary issues," he said.
In an alternative universe, Schmitt added, the country would
have maintained the Saturn V booster capability - the huge rocket used to
propel crews to the Moon -- rather than being forced to work with the space
shuttle booster technology. "That, however, does not appear to be a viable
option for NASA at this time."
Critical path caution
In taking a preliminary look at the NASA architecture, the
geologist in Schmitt provoked a worry.
"One caution at this point is to not put the presence
of ice at the lunar poles in the critical path to success for the
architecture," Schmitt said. "It is not a proven resource in spite of reports
to the contrary. On the other hand, elemental hydrogen implanted by the solar
wind -- in contrast to water-ice that has come from cometary impacts -- is
clearly concentrated in the polar regions over that present in lower
latitudes," he said.
Schmitt said, however, that there is enough hydrogen
everywhere on the Moon to produce water and oxygen. "Thus, selection of a site
for semi-permanent lunar base should be approached with an open mind until we
know for sure that ice is present and economically accessible at the poles."
In his
forthcoming book, Return to the Moon: Exploration, Enterprise, and Energy in
the Human Settlement of Space, published by Praxis-Springer, Schmitt
spotlights the role of the Moon in supporting an energy-hungry Earth. That
prospect appears to be a missing-in-action aspect within NASA's new architecture,
Schmitt said.
"Another
consideration for site selection not yet apparent in the architecture is
verification of regional concentrations of helium-3,
a potentially highly valuable, commercial energy resource for use in
terrestrial fusion power plants," Schmitt pointed out.
Schmitt
also argued that the long-term architecture related to flights to Mars "must
eventually contain a full, scientifically credible understanding of the long
term effects of the space environment on human performance and health."
No Apollo replay
Paul
Spudis, a lunar and planetary scientist at the Applied Physics Laboratory, a
research and development arm of the Johns Hopkins University in Laurel,
Maryland, takes issue with those that see the NASA vision as an Apollo replay.
There is
significant difference in Apollo of yesteryear judged against the NASA plan of
today, Spudis said.
In the
first place, the systems making up the vehicles are being designed for maximum
leverage: long-life, cryogenic-based propulsion, potential reuse in space,
Spudis explained.
Secondly,
the mission is different.
"In Apollo,
the mission was to prove we could land on the Moon and return safely to Earth.
In this case, the mission is to determine the best site to collect and use the
resources of the Moon and to emplace the necessary infrastructure to do so,"
Spudis said. "Admittedly, the early missions will be very much like a
'super-Apollo.' However, they have potential to grow into something very
different."
Use of
off-planet resources
In point of
fact, Spudis continued, "Apollo, for all its beauty, was essentially a
technical dead-end...one-use systems, storable propellants, a paradigm of
launching everything from Earth."
Spudis told
SPACE.com that this system, as blueprinted by NASA, is designed from the
beginning to adapt to a different paradigm: The use of off-planet resources --
lunar manufactured propellants
- to create a permanent transportation infrastructure in cislunar space, the
territory between Earth and the orbit of the Moon.
Should some things have been done differently?
"Possibly",
Spudis suggested. "You can never satisfy everybody by making architectural
choices. However, it's a system that will get us back to the Moon with the
minimal possible extra investment."
"It's a
start back on the road to real space capability," Spudis advised. "And it's
better than the alternative, which is extinction of human exploration."