A recent
article in New Scientist
magazine, entitled " Mysterious signals from 1000 light years away," implies
that the UC Berkeley SETI@home project has uncovered a very
convincing candidate signal that might be the first strong evidence for
extraterrestrial intelligence.
Alas, this story is misleading. According to Dan
Werthimer, who heads up the UC Berkeley SERENDIP SETI project, this is a case of
a reporter failing to understand the workings of their search. He says that
misquotes and statements taken out of context give the impression that his team
is exceptionally impressed with one of the many candidate signals, SHGb02+14a,
uncovered using the popular SETI@home software. They are
not.
This signal has been found twice by folks using the
downloadable screen saver. That fact resulted in the UC Berkeley team putting it
on their list of 'best candidates'. Keep in mind that SETI@home produces 15 million signal reports each day. How can one
possibly sort through this enormous flood of data to sift out signals that might
be truly extraterrestrial, rather than merely noise artifacts or man-made
interference?
The scheme used is simple in principle (although the
technical details are complex): SETI@home data come from a
receiver on the Arecibo radio telescope that is incessantly panning the sky,
riding "piggyback" on other astronomical observations. Every few seconds, it
sweeps another patch of celestial real estate, and records data covering many
millions of frequency channels. Some of these data are then distributed for
processing by the screen saver. By chance, the telescope will sweep the same sky
patch every six months or so. If a signal is persistent - that is to say, it
shows up more than once when the telescope is pointed at the same place, and at
the same frequency (after correction for shifts due to the motion of the Earth)
-- then it becomes a candidate. Of course, being persistent doesn't mean that the
source is always on, only that it is found multiple times.
In February
of this year, Werthimer and his colleagues took a list of two hundred of the
best SETI@home candidate signals to Arecibo and deliberately targeted that
mammoth antenna in the directions to which the scope was pointed when they were
found. Once subjected to this closer inspection, all but one of these signals
failed to show. That disqualifies them from being claimed as true detections of
a persistent signal. The one that was found again, SHGb02+14a (the subject of
the New Scientist
article), will no doubt be observed yet again, but according
to Paul Horowitz, who heads up the Harvard SETI efforts, the statistics of noise
make it fairly likely that at least one of the candidates observed in February
would reappear, even if all these signals were simply due to receiver
fluctuations.
The article remarks on the strong drift of this
signal, which it describes as puzzling. Of course, many terrestrial sources of
interference, and in particular telecommunication satellites, show strong drifts
due to changing Doppler effects as they wheel across the sky. (Incidentally, the
technically inclined will want to note drift due to a planet rotating like Earth
would be 0.15 Hz/sec, not the 1.5 Hz/sec mentioned in the magazine.) As for the
distance of 1000 light-years claimed in the article's title, there is clearly no
evidence supporting this number, other than the lack of known nearby stars in
the beam.
The bottom line is that an experiment like SETI@home always has a candidate list, a table of those signals that
look most promising. Indeed, you can find the current versions of this list on
their web site. However, there is a great deal of difference between a
candidate, and a convincing signal. If any of the major SETI experiments being
run by the SETI Institute, by the UC Berkeley group, the folks at Harvard, or
the Australians or Italians, discovers a signal that they think is of
extraterrestrial origin, they will immediately take steps to confirm this, both
with their own scientists and with observers at other organizations. You will
find information about it on their web sites, and in multiple media
outlets.
Sadly, the
New Scientist , while it implies that a
detection of an extraterrestrial signal is imminent, has inadvertently wandered
into a sticky vat of hyperbole.