A leading space scientist has called to question the
validity of human spaceflight, suggesting that sending astronauts outward from Earth
is outdated, too costly, and the science returned is trivial.
The human spaceflight critic is no stranger to space -- in
fact he’s a pioneer in the space science arena from the premier days of
satellites orbiting Earth.
James van Allen, Regent Distinguished Professor at the University of Iowa, is the noted discoverer of
radiation belts encircling Earth. His seminal finding -- labeled the Van Allen
radiation belts -- stemmed from the scientist’s experiment that flew on Explorer
1, America’s
first satellite to successfully orbit the Earth back on January 31, 1958.
Van Allen’s appraisal of manned space missions -- “Is Human
Spaceflight Obsolete?” -- is carried within the pages of the Summer
2004 volume of Issues in Science and
Technology.
The quarterly policy journal is published by the Cecil and Ida Green Center for the Study of Science and Society at the University of Texas
at Dallas in cooperation with the National
Academy of Sciences in Washington,
D.C.
High
time for calm debate
“My position is that it is high time for a calm debate on
more fundamental questions. Does human spaceflight continue to serve a
compelling cultural purpose and/or our national interest? Or does human
spaceflight simply have a life of its own, without a realistic objective that
is remotely commensurate with its costs? Or, indeed, is human spaceflight now
obsolete?” van Allen writes.
Van Allen’s call for discussion is prompted in part by
NASA’s grounding of the remaining space shuttle fleet following the Columbia accident, while
the agency takes steps to improve their safety. Also, the scientist notes that
President Bush has put on the table “a far more costly and far more hazardous
program” to return humans back to the Moon and for sending astronauts to Mars
and worlds beyond.
Supporters of human spaceflight “defy reality and struggle
to recapture the level of public support that was induced temporarily by the
Cold War,” van Allen charges.
“Almost all of the space program’s important advances in
scientific knowledge have been accomplished by hundreds of robotic spacecraft
in orbit about Earth and on missions to the distant planets Mercury, Venus,
Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune,” van Allen writes. Similarly,
robotic exploration of comets and asteroids “has truly revolutionized our
knowledge of the solar system,” he adds.
Insignificant
science: shuttle and station
Casting an eye on the space shuttle’s contribution to
science, van Allen suggests they have been modest, “and its contribution to
utilitarian applications of space technology has been insignificant.”
The still only partly put together International Space
Station, van Allen points out, has already garnered a price tag of some $30
billion. “If it is actually completed by 2010, after a total lapse of 26 years,
the cumulative cost will be at least $80 billion, and the exuberant hopes for
its important commercial and scientific achievements will have been all but
abandoned,” he argues.
For those holding onto the promise of a “spacefaring world”,
van Allen notes that such a vision is now muted, “represented by a total of two
persons in space -- both in the partially assembled International Space Station
-- who have barely enough time to manage the station, never mind conduct any significant
research.”
Surviving
motivation
Van Allen comments that “the only surviving motivation for
continuing human spaceflight is the ideology of adventure.”
At the end of the day, van Allen concludes: “I ask myself whether
the huge national commitment of technical talent to human spaceflight and the
ever-present potential for the loss of precious human life are really
justifiable.”
“Let us not obfuscate the issue with false analogies to
Christopher Columbus, Ferdinand Magellan, and Lewis and Clark, or with visions
of establishing a pleasant tourist resort on the planet Mars,” van Allen
suggests.