CAPE CANAVERAL, Florida
(AP) -- What if the next space shuttle winds up in trouble, too? What if, like
Columbia, it's damaged at liftoff and the astronauts are up in space with a
maimed rocketship?
Could they be saved?
When Discovery is launched
in a few months, a four-man rescue squad will be standing by.
It's a plan for the
unthinkable.
"It's a place where we
don't want to go. We're training for a mission we never want to fly," says the
team's commander, Air Force Col. Steven Lindsey.
A rescue mission - which
might require the president's approval - is fraught with complexities:
A second launch
would have to be done hastily without all the usual tests, possibly putting the
rescue shuttle - Atlantis - and its crew in harm's way.
The astronauts
on the first shuttle, Discovery, would hole up at the international space
station. Designed to house three people, it would be crammed with nine. And
everyone would hope the station's often-broken oxygen generator would do its
job.
Discovery would
have to be pushed off by remote control into the ocean to make room for
Atlantis at the space station.
If all worked as
planned, Atlantis would return to Earth holding an unprecedented 11 people.
And
even if NASA managed to pull off this nightmare scenario, it would likely mean
an end to the shuttle program five years before its time.
Never before in 44 years of
human spaceflight has NASA gone to such lengths to have a spaceship ready to
rush to another's assistance.
At Kennedy Space Center,
hundreds of employees are toiling all day and night on this possibility.
Discovery can't lift off unless Atlantis is ready to fly one month later. It is
a self-imposed requirement for the next two shuttle flights and goes beyond the
list of recommendations from the panel that investigated the Columbia accident.
And so it is that Atlantis
and Lindsey's team stands poised. If Discovery goes up in mid-May as planned, NASA
says it could launch Atlantis as quickly as mid-June, a month sooner than
scheduled.
"I'm ready to do it and I
figure probably in that one-month period, I wouldn't go home anymore, probably
sleep in my office," says Navy Cmdr. Mark Kelly, Lindsey's co-pilot.
If seven friends were up in
space and needed to get home, Kelly says, "I'm willing to take a lot of risk to
do that, and I understand that, and it's not a decision I will have to make
later. I've already made that decision."
It is this cool
steadfastness and unwavering ability to focus on the ordinary mission _ a
service call to the space station in mid-July _ as well as a nightmarish one,
that makes Lindsey, Kelly, Piers Sellers and Air Force reservist Michael Fossum
seem as though they've stepped out of
"The Right Stuff."
As it turns out, the four
were not hand-picked because of their larger-than-life flying skills or
lightning-fast thinking.
They just happened to be
next in line for launch.
All four are in their 40s
with children. All but Sellers is an engineer; he has a doctorate degree in
biometeorology. All but Fossum have flown before in space.
Lindsey and Kelly are
former test pilots, and Kelly - whose identical twin brother, Scott, is also an
astronaut - flew combat in Operation Desert Storm more than a decade ago.
The British-born Sellers
joined the crew a half-year late, replacing an astronaut who was yanked for
undisclosed medical reasons.
As Lindsey sees it, the
odds of Discovery being gouged by foam debris from the fuel tank at liftoff and
its seven astronauts being stranded at the space station, are very low given
all the improvements in the two years since the Columbia tragedy.
"I'll tell you what, if we
aren't absolutely as confident as we possibly can be that we have fixed the
tank, which is our primary rationale to go forward, then we have no business in
launching," he said.
Lindsey has promised his
wife and three children if he senses anything unsafe for this mission or any other,
"I'll walk, I won't fly."
Earlier this month during a
simulation of Discovery's upcoming flight, NASA's mission managers held a dry
run of the debate that would take place if Discovery were damaged on liftoff.
In the make-believe scenario, the shuttle was struck at launch presumably by
breakaway foam insulation - just as Columbia was.
With the clock running,
flight managers had to decide whether the craft could make it home with patches
or whether the astronauts needed to move into the space station and await
rescue. The managers opted for patch work.
"Hopefully, the probability
is so low that we are just covering ourselves, belt and suspenders," the
shuttle deputy program manager, Wayne Hale, said during the simulation.
In real life, back in
January 2003, no one knew that a chunk of foam had punched a sizable hole in
Columbia's left wing. NASA knew the foam hit somewhere, but discounted the
possibility of catastrophic damage and, after being proved wrong, contended
there was nothing they could have done to save the crew even if they had known
about the damage.
The Columbia accident
investigators didn't buy that. An exhaustive study found that contrary to NASA's
initial claims, the space agency could have launched another shuttle to rescue
the seven astronauts who ended up perishing on their way back to Earth.
If Atlantis is called upon
for rescue, launch director Mike Leinbach says he would use the same
engineering and weather criteria he always uses to get that shuttle off the
pad. But from a personal perspective, the countdown would be unlike anything
before.
"It would just be another
one of those, I don't want to say, empty feeling like I had the day that
Columbia didn't come home,'' Leinbach says. "It's impossible to describe the
emotional feeling that everyone would have launching the rescue mission. But we
would do it if so told."
NASA's main concerns, for now, are
getting Discovery ready for a mid-May launch and Atlantis ready for a possible
mid-June emergency launch, and keeping the space station running without more
major breakdowns.
Being stuck at the space
station and awaiting rescue would have its own problems. One of Discovery's
astronauts, Andrew Thomas, who lived aboard Russia's space station Mir seven
years ago, says it's the psycho-social aspects that would concern him most.
"What would we do on a
day-to-day basis?" Thomas asks. He points to history for the answer. Successful
missions in tough situations have hinged on crew members constructively working
on their own day-to-day survival. "You just have to look at what Shackleton
did," Thomas says.
In the classic survival
tale, Sir Ernest Shackleton in 1915 guided his crew of 27 back to safety after
their ship became trapped in the ice of Antarctica. To keep up morale, he
staged concerts, holiday celebrations and sports matches.
A piano keyboard is up on
the space station, ''and maybe one of us could learn to play the piano while
we're there,'' Thomas says with a chuckle. ''You remember that movie,
'Groundhog Day?' That's what the Bill Murray character did when he was caught
in sort of a supposed never-ending cycle.''
But then Thomas turns
serious again: ''It would be a stressful situation.''
He is convinced the
astronauts could be saved, but the danger would be the premature death of the
shuttle program, which is to be phased out in 2010.
''It would be hard for me
to imagine that were there another major failure like this that Congress would
not look askance at the shuttle program and say, 'Hey, we're done with it.'''