CAPE CANAVERAL -- NASA is drafting a plan to evacuate
the International Space Station because the two-man crews are eating more than
engineers predicted, prompting a critical food shortage weeks earlier than
expected.
The Russians are packing seven extra containers of
food into an automated space freighter set to blast off from Kazakhstan on Dec.
23 and, as long as the resupply ship reaches the station as planned, space
agency officials say they do not expect to order the crew to return to Earth
early.
However, if the ship is destroyed or delayed,
temporary evacuation is likely.
Commander Leroy Chiao and Russian flight engineer
Salizhan Sharipov will have to eat less to stretch their food supply. Their
water situation is not much better.
"Everyone is confident the Progress ship will arrive
(on Christmas Day)," said James Hartsfield, a spokesman at NASA's Johnson Space
Center in Houston, where engineers are working on the evacuation
plan.
The Progress cargo ships have a solid record and "we
do not expect any issue with this one, but it's prudent to make all the
preparations you need to make so you are ready if you have to be."
Supplies are tight aboard the space station because
NASA's shuttles remain grounded, almost two years after the Columbia
disintegrated trying to re-enter the atmosphere on Feb. 1, 2003. The station is
relying on smaller Russian ships to deliver crew and cargo since then. The food
and water dipped to near-critical levels just days ahead of the last two cargo
ships.
The internal NASA reports call the shortage
"critical" and attribute it in part to "higher consumption than planned."
Station managers list the inability to keep the station staffed as one of the
most serious risks facing the outpost, a problem driven by dwindling food, water
and supplies.
The international partners agreed after the Columbia
accident to cut the space station crew, from three people to two, to conserve
food, water and other provisions.
Their agreement called for evacuation planning to
begin about one month before food, water or breathable air supplies dip to 45
days' worth. The idea is for a crew to leave if the supply falls below 30 days.
That would leave enough behind for astronauts to return to the station
later.
"They have been working on a de-manning plan,"
Hartsfield said.
NASA and its partners knew food and water were tight
when they decided to go ahead and launch the crew and the station hit the 45-day
limit before the Christmas re-supply ship arrived. But at the time, engineers
expected the food not to reach that critical level until Christmas.
However, astronauts are eating about 25 percent more
food than expected. A series of repeated food audits, during which Chiao counted
food containers in the station pantry and then engineers on the ground ran new
calculations, has been going on since just after Thanksgiving.
Furthermore, the 45-day supply is an optimistic
assessment because the engineering estimates are wrong. First, to make the food
last 45 days, the astronauts will have to eat about 10 percent less -- but
that's a cut back from the predicted food consumption.
Based on what crews actually ate in recent months,
the men could be cutting back their munching by 30 percent or more.
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