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SPACE.com Space Weather Forecast, Solar, Meteor Forecasts
By SPACE.com Staff
posted: 30 June 2005
08:06 am
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Untitled Document NOTE: With space weather on the decline, SPACE.com will discontinue this forecast as of Aug. 24. Daily forecasts are available from NOAA and Spaceweather.com. A weekly meteor forecast is provided by the AMS. We will continue to cover major space weather events, meteor showers and research news in our Science section.
 Forecast for Aug. 22-24
The Sun | Northern Lights | Shooting Stars | Almanac | | | | 3-Day Solar Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Percent chance of solar flares each day:
Moderate (M-class): 10/10/10
Severe (X-class): 01/01/01
| | Sun News Sun's Output Increasing in Possible Trend Fueling Global Warming
20 March 2003: In what could be the simplest explanation for one component of global warming, a new study shows the Sun's radiation has increased by .05 percent per decade since the late 1970s. | NORTHERN LIGHTS | | 3-Day Aurora Forecast
Earth's geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly active to minor storm levels for the duration of the forecast period as the high-speed-stream disturbance continues.
Percent chance each day of mid-latitude geomagnetic storms, which can make aurora visible below the U.S./Canadian border, as well as into northern Europe, for the 3 days noted at top of page:
Minor: 20/20/20
Severe: 05/05/05 | |
Aurora News Light Shows: The Science and Scenes of Near Space
29 October 2002: Between Earth and space, between what geologists and astronomers study, is the atmosphere. It's also a place of tremendous activity, as these pictures show. Northern Lights Continue to Impress Lucky Viewers
17 September 2002: Waves and ripples of otherworldly light continue to grace the night skies, leaving residents of the northern United States and Europe in awe. Earth's Invisible Tail: Space Weather Secrets Revealed | | | Solar Data
The current sunspot number is 86, and the solar wind speed recently clocked in at 803 kilometers per second. The solar wind density was 2.5 protons per cubic centimeter. (Speed and density values are snapshots in time and change during the day. About these numbers.)
SOURCE FOR SOLAR/GEOMAGNETIC INFORMATION:
NOAA's Space Environment Center; NASA/MSFC | | | The Perfect Gift: The Entire Night Sky! | | Starry Night software can help you (or someone you love!) explore the universe from home.
Map the night sky for any time, any location, or just explore. Buy Starry Night Now! | | SHOOTING STARS | | Meteor Forecast
The Moon reaches its new phase on Wednesday Aug. 27. At this time the Moon will lie in the vicinity of the sun as seen from the Earth. Therefore the Moon will be a very thin crescent (if visible at all) and will not cause any interference to observers this week. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week should be near three for those in the Northern Hemisphere and two in the Southern Hemisphere. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near eighteen for those located in the Northern Hemisphere and twelve for those in the Southern Hemisphere. These rates assume that you are watching from rural areas away from all sources of light pollution. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and experience in watching meteor activity. | SOURCES FOR METEOR FORECAST:
ROBERT LUNSFORD, AMERICAN METEOR SOCIETY, IMO; SPACE.com reporting |
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