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World Space Congress Astronotes: Daily Updates

October 19

World Space CongressNGST: The Name Game

Much to everybody’s surprise, the Next Generation Space Telescope (NGST) was anointed with the name: The James Webb Space Telescope, after the space agency’s second administrator. That decision is thought to have come from the top, courtesy of current NASA chief, Sean O’Keefe, who holds the highest regard for Webb’s administrative skills.

The space agency points out that, while the late James Webb is best known for his managerial skills in shaping the Apollo Moon program, he also spurred into being a vigorous space science program. He was responsible for more than 75 launches during his tenure, including America’s first interplanetary explorers.

Here at the World Space Congress, however, specifically among astronomers, the NASA-picked name falls flat. Christening the super-observatory the James Webb Space Telescope has irked the space science community. They would have preferred the scope be named after an astronomer, taking after the Hubble Space Telescope example.

Edwin P. Hubble was a staff astronomer at Carnegie Institution’s Mount Wilson Observatory. The general picture of the universe established in his work remains at the heart of present-day cosmology.

One better choice would have been Princeton University astronomer, Lyman Spitzer. In 1946, it was Spitzer who first proposed putting a telescope in space.

October 18

World Space Congress: European Students Party for Peace at World Space Congress

Several hundred European students attended the World Space Congress here thanks to the generosity from the European Space Agency. Despite a lot of handwringing by NASA and its industrial contractors about the aging of the U.S. aerospace workforce, no comparable effort was made to bring American students to the conference.

European students celebrated the international space gathering Thursday night at a raucus party at a hotel on the University of Houston campus. Talk among today's space youth ran to stepping up efforts to prevent the weaponization of the final frontier by the world's military's.

The nascent peace activists attending the show are of a decidely more pragmatic bent then many of their older, shaggier counterparts who picket military space gatherings from Colorado Springs to Albuquerque, New Mexico. One self-described peace advocate said he didn't oppose military use of space for communications, navigation, and surveillance, but would draw a firm line at deploying weapons in or through space.

World Space CongressDeep Impact Mission Deep-Six-ing?

Deep Impact is a NASA econo-class mission to shoot a projectile at a comet in July 2005, making a football field-sized crater deep within a speeding comet. But the word here at the World Space Congress is that the mission is in deep trouble encountering technical woes and cost growth. The mission is being led by a Univ. of Maryland, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and Ball Aerospace team. NASA Headquarters recently called the Deep Impact folks in for discussion of possible cancellation of the project. The outcome of those talks remains in the "to be determined" column as the Deep Impact team tries to save the effort.

October 17

World Space CongressSpaced out Survivor TV Show?

Rumors are hot here at the World Space Congress that Survivor TV game show executive producer, Mark Burnett, is back on track and working deals with the Russians on flying a person into orbit.

Meanwhile, singer Lance Bass of the band ‘N Sync could be headed for a Soyuz liftoff next April, bankrolled by $20 million in sponsor money.

NASA is reportedly irked about the on/off switch thrown multiple times on sending Bass skyward. Word here is that the space agency may take another hard look at the Bass affair, perhaps pressing for a tightening of regulations allowing tourist-like treks to the International Space Station.

Space Tourism Market Looks Promising

If you’re around 53-years old, got oodles of money – many tens of millions – you’re perfect for a two-week trip into orbit to visit a space station. That’s one finding from what appears to be one of the most comprehensive and detailed surveys yet done regarding public space travel. The Futron Corporation in Bethesda, Maryland detailed their survey at the World Space Congress today.

Futron experts forecast that by 2021 they’ll be 60 passengers per year flying into orbit, representing revenues in excess of $300 million. At that same time period, suborbital – quick up and down space shots – should also be available, with 15,000 passengers flying per year yielding $700 million in revenues.

What do people want out of a flight into space?

Phil McAlister, Futron’s Director of Space & Telecommunications, said the highest percentage of those surveyed simply want to view the Earth. However, the study clearly shows that an increase in demand for space travel by the public is best fed by an on-orbit destination, such as a commercial on-orbit facility.

-- Leonard David

World Space CongressWomen and Couples Ideal for Lengthy Space Treks

A study of expeditions here on Earth provides clues on crew selection for long-duration space missions.

Two psychologists reported here at the World Space Congress that women add an element of "emotional support" to long distance space travel crews. Furthermore, that same support and help to other team members is not evident in all-male groups. Lastly, selection of couples with strong bonds to each other is another paradigm for crew selection for extended missions.

Psychologists Gloria Leon of the University of Minnesota and Gro Sandal of the University of Bergen in Norway have studied three situations of people in isolated and extreme environments.

Leon and Sandal evaluated the psychological trials and tribulations of a two woman international dyad that traversed the Antarctic continent; an international team of women that trekked across Greenland; and three married couples from different nations that were icelocked on a boat in the High Arctic.

The psychologists also note the need for women in these groups to have a confidant with whom to share concerns. That could increase the overall efficiency of isolated teams, they reported.

-- Leonard David

World Space Congress: NASA: "Lego" our Mars Rover

NASA was none too pleased to see that the Planetary Society and Lego had included the likeness of an astronaut in the logo for the Red Rover Goes to Mars project.

NASA has agreed to outfit one of the 2003 Mars Exploration Rovers with a tiny payload designed by the Planetary Society and Lego as a way to encourage school children to take a deep interest in the mission. But NASA fears that the inclusion of the helmeted astronaut on the Red Rover logo could send a confusing message about the purpose of the rover mission and lead children to believe that NASA has plans to send humans to Mars. Which it doesn't.

Perhaps NASA can pretend the that the astronaut is really a robot. We're talking about Legos afterall.

October 16

World Space CongressX PRIZE: $10 million is up for grabs

The X Prize Foundation has got money in the bank. $10 million is up for grabs for the first team to complete a three-person spacecraft roundtrip trek to some 60 miles (100 kilometers) to the edge of space and return to terra firma. That same vehicle must demonstrate reusability by flying again within two-weeks.

"The $10 million is in place," said Peter Diamandis, Chairman and Founder of the X Prize in St. Louis, Missouri. That money is secure and available to January 1, 2005 he announced today at the World Space Congress.

The X Prize competition is heating up.

Two new teams have been accepted into the ranks of those vying for the prize purse. They are: Armadillo Aerospace and ARDA of Bucharest, Romania. Also, it was announced today that Pablo De Leon, President of De Leon Technologies and head of the Argentinean X Prize team, is ready to fly a half-scale vehicle in the first half of 2003. Other teams also consider 2003 a turning point for vehicle trial runs too.

October 15

World Space Congress: South Africa Commits to Second Sunsat Satellite

HOUSTON-- The South African government has agreed to launch a small Earth imaging satellite in 2004 as a follow-on to its Sunsat spacecraft launched with NASA help in 1999.

Sunsat 2004 is intended to bridge the gap between the original Sunsat and the larger Sunsat 2 satellite that South Africa's SunSpace and Information Systems and Stellenbosch University hope to launch in 2006.

Garth W. Milne, technical director at SunSpace, said here Oct. 15 that the go-ahead approval for Sunsat 2004 was granted earlier this month. The satellite is expected to weigh 30 kilograms at launch and to include a technology-demonstration and Earth observation payload.

South African authorities have been concerned that if they did not provide hands-on work to the Stellenbosch engineers and students, they would face an exodus of the expertise that was created for the Sunsat project.

Since Sunsat, Stellenbosch and SunSpace teams have provided hardware to small-satellite projects in South Korea, Australia and Germany. "The export earnings we provide are important to our ability to finance our projects," Milne said.

World Space Congress: SLI: "So Long Initiative"

Growing and constant chatter at the World Space Congress is the imminent death of NASA’s multi-billion dollar Space Launch Initiative, the SLI.

Led by the space agency’s Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama, the program’s intent is to create next generation launchers beyond the space shuttle. Monies saved by down-scaling the SLI are to help bail out the trouble-plagued International Space Station (ISS), move out on an ISS crew rescue vehicle, and pump funds into a laundry list of space shuttle upgrades.

Some money will be kept into something that NASA will call SLI, "but the program will be unrecognizable compared to today’s program," an industry source told SPACE.com.

-- Leonard David

World Space Congress: SETI Scale Proposed to Determine Credibility of Claims

An ET scale of believability is being launched today here at the World Space Congress. Called the Rio Scale, the idea is to devise a method to determine the credibility of any claim that intelligence elsewhere in the universe has been detected.

The concept has been unveiled by the International Academy of Astronautics’ Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence Permanent Study Group.

The Scale runs from zero –for non-credible claims of detection – to ten for a completely reliable detection. Judging the credibility of any claim would fall under the duties of a special panel of SETI scientists.

The Rio Scale has been initiated by Ivan Almar of Hungary, along with Jill Tarter of the SETI Institute in California. The hope is to give the media and the public solid footing on claims that ET contact has indeed been made.

"If SETI researchers pick up a signal, it will be very useful to have a scheme in place for assessing the importance and reliability of the discovery," said Seth Shostak of the SETI Institute.

-- Leonard David

World Space Congress: Cronkite: "The Right Stuff" Sends the Wrong Message

Famed broadcaster Walker Cronkite gave the movie “The Right Stuff” a thumbs down for its sardonic portrayal of the American Mercury astronauts in the early 1960s.

“The way the movie treated that particularly book, and the book itself, I didn’t think did justice to our NASA astronauts or the NASA program,” he told attendees at the World Space Congress in Houston.

Cronkite gave a verbal thumbs up to the movies “2001: A Space Odyssey”; “Apollo 13”; and “Close Encounters of the Third Kind.”

“They thrilled us. They inspired us. Also enlightened us. They filled us with awe. They made us laugh and sometimes cry. They asked the big question of who we are. What is our place in the universe? A rather important question I think,” he said.

World Space Congress: ZERO-G Flying High with Three Domestic Marketing Partners

Wanted: A bunch of lightweights. That’s what Zero Gravity Corporation (ZERO-G) is after for their commercial parabolic flights. The privately held space entertainment company plans to start sustained weightlessness flights in 2003 within the United States using specially modified Boeing 727 aircraft.

The company announced the formation of their company here at the World Space Congress. They are already head over heels about marketing relationships with three major companies: Space Adventures, NOVESPACE and Omega World Travel. A variety of public packages are planned, with the expectation of being less expensive and more accessible than trips outside the U.S. for the experience.

"We want to come to a city near you and take the parabolas to the person," said Byron Lichtenberg, a former shuttle astronaut and President of ZERO-G.

-- Leonard David

October 14

World Space Congress : Houston Grows as Space-Sector Shrinks

HOUSTON -- Like the space station orbiting overhead, "Space City" Houston is under construction -- big time.

World Space Congress (WSC) attendees negotiating their way to the George R. Brown Convention Center cannot fail to notice the fact that half the city seems to be under renovation.

The reason: The 2004 Super Bowl, the U.S. pro football championship, which Houston is hosting. The city is also the site of the 2004 major-league baseball All-Star Game.

To prepare for both events, a trolley system linking downtown to the football stadium is being built. It's the latest in a series of downtown-renovation projects in the past seven years that have a combined value of nearly $4 billion, according to the Houston Downtown Management District.

But if the downtown is growing, the space-sector employment is decreasing. Jim Reinhartsen, president of the Clear Lake Area Economic Development Foundation, said NASA Johnson Space Center employment has remained relatively stable and now stands at 3,185.

Space-industry employment, however, has shrunk with the declining importance of manned space flight as a NASA spending item.

Today's private-sector space industry employment is around 12,500, Reinhartsen said. "It follows the NASA budget for human spaceflight," said Reinhartsen. "In fiscal-year 1991, human spaceflight was 48 percent of NASA's budget. That overall NASA budget has remained pretty much unchanged in the past 10 years, and now human space flight is 38 percent of the total, and heading toward 30 percent."

-- Peter de Selding

World Space Congress: Space Shuttle Pioneers Honored; Defend Project's Initial Cost Overruns

Thirty years on, pioneer of the U.S. space shuttle program still grate at the idea that they let program costs spiral out of control.

"To those who say the program had big cost overruns, I answer: Things are a lot more complicated than they might seem," said Robert W. Thompson, manager of the National Space Transportation System at Johnson Space Center during the late 1960s and early 1970s, when the shuttle was being designed.

Thompson was one of 26 government and industry officials who received the International Academy of Astronautics 2002 Team Achievement Award here Oct. 13. The award was given to a representative group of past and present shuttle managers.

J.R. Thompson, then manager of the space shuttle main engine program and director of the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, said the award should have been given to "hundreds, even thousands, of people."

Thompson said he recalls tricky budget negotiations and times when his superiors "saved my bacon" and permitted the program to continue.

Aaron Cohen, project manager for the Space Shuttle Orbiter program at Johnson Space Center at the time, said the original idea of the shuttle was to focus U.S. space policy on the construction of a space station in low Earth orbit to follow the Apollo moon program. Exploration of the Moon and
Mars as Apollo follow-ons were rejected, as was the possibility of simply stopping the space program.

"To get to the space station, you need a transport system, and from there the idea of an orbiter came," Cohen said. "We thought the station
would be built within 20 years. Now we're 33 years and we're still building it."

-- Peter de Selding

World Space Congress: Military Space Spending Skyrockets

An analysis by the Teal Group on military space spending is to be detailed Monday at the World Space Congress. The study group has found that unclassified military space contract actions during fiscal year 2002 (ending September 30) totaled $4.22 billion. That figure is up from $1.56 billion during fiscal year 2001. According to Teal Group analyst, Marco Caceres, military space contracts were awarded to 32 companies, 31 company subsidiaries and other organizations, including joint ventures. The largest single unclassified military space contract action during fiscal year 2002 was $2.15 billion. That money went to Lockheed Martin Space Systems for restructuring the Space Based Infrared Systems High (SBIRS-High) project.

-- Leonard David

October 13

World Space Congress: CONTOUR Update - No Smoking Gun

On Monday, an internal team of the Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) is turning over its findings to a NASA troubleshooting team looking into what went wrong with the Comet Nucleus Tour (CONTOUR) mission. The spacecraft was lost to space on August 15, shortly after firing its STAR 30BP solid-propellant rocket motor in order to depart low Earth orbit. That firing was known to have under-performed. Insiders here at the World Space Congress say that, as yet, "no smoking gun" has been found regarding why the spacecraft has failed to respond to Earth commands. However, APL investigators have made some headway into possible reasons the CONTOUR mission went astray.

-- Leonard David

Asteroid Wake-up Call

NASA’s Near Earth Asteroid Rendezvous (NEAR) spacecraft sitting atop asteroid Eros is getting a wake-up call from Earth in December. Whether it responds is another matter. After circling the space rock for almost a full year, the NASA probe landed on Eros on February 12, 2001. Carrying out extra science duties directly on the surface, NEAR was turned off on February 28, its mission deemed fully successful. Now a signal is to be transmitted to the spacecraft to see if it responds. Using one of the large Deep Space Network radio dishes, one sweep of Eros is planned on December 13. While space engineers attending the World Space Congress admit chances are slim of getting a peep out of NEAR, a response would show how robust spacecraft electronics could be in surviving deep freeze temperatures.

-- Leonard David

NASA JSC Looking for Integrity

NASA’s Johnson Space Center engineers have begun sketching out a new integrated human test facility. Called Integrity, the on-site hardware is meant as follow-on to an earlier Bioplex structure. That life support complex was forced to shut down due to budget cuts. Integrity is to carry on Bioplex life support and habitat research, and include simulated Moon or Mars terrain on which astronauts could evaluate extraterrestrial surface tasks.

-- Leonard David

October 12

World Space Congress: Argentina Reaches Halfway Point on Radar Satellite Project

Argentina's space agency is midway through construction of two L-band radar Earth observation satellites to be launched starting in late 2004 as part of a constellation being built with Italy.

Fernando Raul Colomb, manager of institutional relations at Argentina's National Space Activities Commission (CONAE), said the two satellites, called Saocom, will be assembled in Italy but composed almost entirely of
Argentine hardware. Each will have a 10-meter ground resolution.

Colomb said Argentina's financial crisis has made it difficult for CONAE to purchase hardware abroad and forced the agency's engineers to learn new skills-- including building the radar instrument -- to keep the Saocom project alive. Italy and Argentina signed a cooperation accord in late 2000 on the program. Italy is contributing its Cosmo-Skymed radar spacecraft, being financed by Italian civilian and military authorities.

Italy also signed a cooperation agreement with French military and civilian authorities to integrate Cosmo-Skymed and France's Pleiades optical high-resolution satellites into a single system. Colomb said Argentina would seek a similar agreement with France.

-- Peter de Selding

October 11

World Space Congress: When 4 Means Death Call It Koreasat 5

Korea Telecom has launched three satellites since 1995 -- Koreasat 1, 2 and 3 respectively. But the firm's next satellite -- which has no launch date as yet -- will be called Koreasat 5.

Gwang-Ju Seo, vice president of the satellite business group at Korea Telecom, said the company will avoid that designation for cultural reasons. In Korea, he noted during a presentation at the World Space Congress, the
number 4 represents death.

Korea Telecom won't be the first to make such a decision. GE Americom, for example, went from GE 12 to GE 14 to avoid using the number 13, which Americans consider bad luck.

World Space Congress: Boeing Analyst: Space Commerce's Economic Outlook Has Become "Worse"

For the near-term, the health of space commerce is not doing well. "Even two years ago, there was better outlook. The reality is…it’s gotten worse," said Martin Cabaniss of The Boeing Company in Houston, Texas.

"There is over capacity and fierce competition. Most of this is keyed to the cost of reusable launch vehicles and being able to develop the new technologies," Cabaniss said, reporting the findings of his Boeing colleague, James Peters, at the World Space Congress.

At present, a "significant oversupply of launch capacity exists," Cabaniss said.

Cabaniss said that the next space race is a paradigm shift from tossing astronauts to the Moon. The space race kicked off in the late 1950s was politically driven, where cost was a low priority and public backing was high, he said.

The next space race will be economically driven, with return-on-investment priority #1.

Looking outward into the future, Cabaniss highlighted growth areas in remote sensing, as well as space-based energy. One futuristic commercial opportunity, he reported, is Helium-3 mining on the Moon, an activity to fuel fusion reactors expected to be "the major energy source of the 21st century."

In concluding remarks, Cabaniss said that current projections indicate no growth over the next five years in commercial space markets. Overall, the market structure is moving from oligopoly to "perfect competition" with over capacity and fierce price competition. Long-term growth is tied to new technology and reduced payload-to-orbit launch costs to stimulate demand.

As for space tourism, Cabaniss is in a wait-and-see mode. "Again, the cost to orbit is the driver. It cost too much to get there. If that launch vehicle cost doesn’t come down, then space tourism won’t become a reality," he said.

-- Leonard David

World Space Congress: NASA Memo: Single Planet Species Do Not Last

A cosmic communiqué is floating around the World Space Congress, authored by NASA Johnson Space Center’s Associate Director (Technical). The man behind that memo is none other than former Gemini, Apollo, and Space Shuttle astronaut, John Young.

Young’s message, obtained by SPACE.com, is direct to numbers of his NASA colleagues: "In order to save the human race we must develop the technologies that will allow us to live and work on other places in the Solar System." Moreover, the NASA official says that, this past year, new knowledge has shown that the human race is at significant risk from normal Solar System and Earth evolving events.

"The Moon is the very best place to establish the first human bases for living, working, and supporting Earth people in this century," Young’s memo declares. He recommends that NASA redo the risk statistics for civilization extinction events and get the word out on what must be done to save the human race over the short or long haul.

In addition, Young urges the space agency to begin development of advanced technologies to live and work on other places in the Solar System.

Why start immediate work on such technology? In bold caps, Young states: "SINGLE PLANET SPECIES DO NOT LAST and we have no idea how much time we have."

-- Leonard David

World Space Congress: Scientist to Ask U.N. to Declare Moon a World Heritage Site

A U.S. ecologist is prepared to throw a monkey wrench into those who want to develop space.

Richard Steiner is prepared next week at the World Space Congress to call for a "kinder and gentler" paradigm for space exploration. He will call for the United Nations to regulate all human activity in space. Furthermore, he wants to have the UN designate the Moon as a World Heritage Site – free from commercial development.

Steiner, a professor and conservation specialist at the University of Alaska Marine Advisory Program wants to protect the Moon from "greedy industrialists, empire builders, or those with militant intention."

In a statement made available to SPACE.com, Steiner said: "If the Moon belongs to anyone, it belongs to everyone."

"If the Moon was defiled by some of the commercial development proposals in consideration at present, then humanity would be forever diminished," Steiner explains. "What goes on there should be the domain of not just the aerospace engineers and astronomers, but also the poets, musicians, artists, teachers…young and old…rich and poor."

-- Leonard David

World Space Congress: ESA’S Aurora Program Steps Ahead

One buzz among many at the World Space Congress is Europe’s go-ahead on spelling out a strategy for human and robotic exploration of the Moon, Mars, as well as asteroids.

The European Space Agency (ESA) wants to hone a multi-decade program under its Aurora initiative. Early this week, ESA approved the start of assessment studies for the first four robotic missions in the program: Two "Flagship" missions, and two "Arrow" missions.

For the lower costing, but technologically rich Arrow-class experiments, ESA green-lighted: A re-entry vehicle/capsule test in Earth orbit geared to validate how best to return samples from Mars to Earth. Also approved is a Mars Aerocapture demonstrator – hardware would enter Mars orbit by using friction with the planet’s upper atmosphere and a skill eventually to be used on piloted expeditions to the red planet.

For the up-scale, more costly Flagship-class endeavors, ESA approved the Exo-Mars mission – a fully equipped rover to search for Martian life. A second project, a Mars Sample Return mission also has been okayed.

The just approved studies will help clarify feasibility and mission requirements and open the way to the early phase of the industrial work in 2003.

As currently envisaged, the main milestones of the Aurora program are: two Mars Sample Return missions (2011-2017); the decision to go ahead with a human mission (2015); a robotic outpost on Mars and possible human mission to the Moon (2020 - 2025); and a human mission to Mars (2025 - 2030).

-- Leonard David

October 10

World Space Congress: Unreal Real Estate

Talk about a room with a view. Human spaceflight visionary for the Boeing Company, Brent Sherwood, predicts that low Earth orbit is sure to become a zone for increased foot traffic.

"I’m a big believer in big windows," Sherwood told an audience of space architects at the World Space Congress now underway in Houston, Texas. The space engineer envisions billions of dollars being spent on space housing over the years to come.

Sherwood sees the urbanism of space, but in three-dimensions. The Boeing space planner believes the public will expect artificial gravity, as well as microgravity environments – and the ability to easily move between them.

"If you can’t mix a martini or make an omelet in space, you can’t have a hotel up there," Sherwood advised.

Looking into the future, the Boeing planner said that huge Manhattan-sized structures could be built in Earth orbit, akin to a giant raft of streets and avenues.Sherwood sketched out unique, specially designed living quarters for space dwellers, where the view of Earth is a major marketing plus.

Those living aboard this space real estate will be afforded a substitute sky. "Planet Earth provides the sky canopy. The sky in space is the Earth," Sherwood said. "The view is so important."

-- Leonard David

 


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