The complexity of life took
billions of years to push and stretch and reshape the biological niche that
is Earth. It would seem prudent - if one had the means - to save some portion
of the blueprints of this majesty, so that the process would not have to start
over from scratch in the event of a global cataclysm.
Morbid, for sure, yet still
prudent. But where to put this valuable backup so that it is both safe and handy?
And what form should it take?
Last week the head of Europe's
lunar missions said a DNA library might belong on the Moon.
"It would act as a
mini Noah's Ark for repopulating the Earth after a catastrophe," explained
Bernard Foing, chief scientist with the European Space Agency, in a telephone
interview with SPACE.com. "It would be a second chance."
The notion echoes one that
has been slowly developing over the past few years in the United States. The
Alliance to Rescue Civilization (ARC)
advocates a "lunar sanctuary" to preserve Earth's whole record in
case the planet is destroyed.
Interestingly, Foing had
never heard of ARC, and ARC leaders did not know of Foing. The fact that the
idea sprang up in separate intellectual circles may boost interest in the plan.
"It's wonderful,"
said Bill Burrows on learning of Foing's comments. "The more the merrier."
Burrows, who teaches journalism
at New York University (NYU), said that he first heard of reseeding a decimated
Earth from a lunar base in Robert Shapiro's 1999 book, Planetary Dreams:
The Quest to Discover Life Beyond Earth. Burrows and Shapiro, a chemist
at NYU, founded ARC to get the word out about planetary protection.
Global Killer
There are several known
threats to life on Earth, and perhaps some that no one has yet imagined.
"Everybody tends to
think of it in terms of a big dirty rock," Burrows said. Scientists estimate
that a kilometer-sized boulder could cause planetary-wide devastation. There
are hundreds of these large asteroids that astronomers are keeping an eye on.
And a significant fraction of the estimated population of potentially deadly
large asteroids -- those whose orbits cross in the vicinity of Earth's path
around the Sun -- have yet to be found, other experts agree.
Burrows said there are "rogues"
- asteroids outside the plane of the solar system - that are harder to spot.
Besides the Armageddon that
a large impact would unleash, there are nuclear wars and pandemic viruses to
worry about. Foing, the European proponent of lunar living, believes there needs
to be a self-sufficient
colony on the Moon that can wait for the fallout of the disaster to subside.
"It would need to be able to survive independent of Earth for many years,"
he said.
Foing thinks that a biosphere
on the Moon would be the primary function of a lunar base, and only then could
a DNA library be worth contemplating.
Burrows agreed: "You
need to have people [on the Moon] to rescue Earth."
Storage and Retrieval
But the details of this
rescue have yet to be worked out.
"The classic Noah's
Ark would be living species," said Foing.
But keeping a zoo on the
Moon that represents the diversity of life is not exactly practical. Besides
all the room necessary for whales and elephants, Foing admits that the partial
gravity of the Moon may not be suitable for the development of many organisms.
The alternative would be
a much-more compact archive of DNA that could be "downloaded" when
necessary.
"A 'DNA library' could
consist of actual DNA samples, which might last for many thousands of years
if stored dry, in the cold, and protected from radiation," Robert Shapiro,
the NYU chemist, told SPACE.com.
These samples would be in
the form of cells or tissues. "They contain the DNA, but would be more
useful than raw DNA for recreating an individual of the species," Shapiro said.
DNA banks of this sort are
already being set up on Earth. One of them, called the Frozen Ark, is cataloguing
species on the verge of extinction. "If you can save the DNA, it still
exists for future generations of research," said Bill Holt from the Zoological
Society of London, who sits on the Frozen Ark steering committee.
But Holt said that the prime
motivation of Frozen Ark is not for regenerating species that have disappeared.
He says an operation like that is at an "entirely different scale."
Say, for instance, the idea
would be to clone new organisms from tissues or blood. Besides a DNA sample,
Holt explained, you would like to have an unfertilized egg, or oocyte, from
the same species. This ensures that the DNA to be cloned matches the mitochondria
and other cellular machinery of the egg host. But gathering and storing oocytes
(or embryos for that matter) is often more complicated than for other cells.
And even if you can obtain
an embryo by some means, "you need to know the reproductive biology of
that particular species," Holt said. There would essentially have to be
a separate nursery on the lunar base for every type of organism.
50 by 50
Another complication is
the fact that a species needs a certain amount of genetic diversity to be viable.
"You can't have just
one or two DNA samples, but you need hundreds," Holt said. Biologists debate
over the exact numbers, but Holt thinks 50 females and 50 males is a bare minimum
to fill in the gene pool.
The task becomes even more
daunting when one thinks of the thousands of species we would likely deem necessary
on a resurrected Earth, each needing a hundred or so samples to be stored indefinitely.
Although he has never considered a project of this magnitude, Holt estimates
that storing a single species for future seeding could cost a million dollars
if not more.
"This is much more
complicated than a DNA bank," he said.
It would certainly be simpler
if a genetic code saved in a computer could be used to recreate a living organism,
but this is currently not feasible, expert say. And yet, Holt could not discount
the possibility. "You can never predict what people will be able to do
in the future," he said.
Regardless, Shapiro believes
that it would be "prudent to store all of the DNA sequence data presently
being collected by the Human Genome Project" safely on the Moon, "so that we
never have to repeat it all, come what may."
Why the Moon?
Shapiro also emphasizes
that there is more than DNA to be saved. Our cultural and scientific heritage
is something we would hate to have to reproduce if calamity struck.
But would it not be easier
to transfer this information to, say, a bunker deep underground?
Foing, who first raised
the idea to a BBC reporter at the British Association Festival of Science last
week, said this would defeat the purpose of having a self-sustaining support
colony, since there would be no sunlight in a bunker for growing food. Burrows
added that an underground archive would still be vulnerable to a large enough
collision. He suggests that we do it on the Moon and on the Earth.
"The more you spread
it out, the better," Burrows said.
Burrows does think it would
be ridiculous to put an ark on Mars, where others hope to set up a colony. A
rescue mission would take six months to a year from Mars, but only a few days
from the Moon.
Foing notes that Mars may
not be an entirely dead planet. "The Moon does not have any life, but at
Mars we could end up erasing the indigenous life."
International Enterprise
Both Foing and the ARC proponents
realize that backing up the planetary hard-drive is a long-term vision. "We're
talking 100 years time scale," Foing said.
But they think the motivation
in defending Earth might help focus all the other reasons to explore the Moon
and beyond.
"This is the compelling
reason to get off Earth," Burrows said.
Burrows is realistic, however,
about the average citizen's interest in colonizing space. "Not all of Spain
turned out to wave to Columbus," he said.
Burrows said the effort
will require government backing, and he thinks it should be an international
effort. The goal for ARC right now, though, is just to get people thinking about
the future of space exploration and the fate of our planet.
"Our strategy is to
write about it," Burrows said. And he has a new book coming out next year, "The
Survival Imperative: Using Space to Protect Earth." He wants to make it
clear to his readers that none of this will be easy. "Get Star Trek out
of your head," he warned.
This article is part of
SPACE.com's weekly Mystery Monday series