Here's the devastating impact a super-Earth would have on our solar system

an illustration of Earth beside a much larger blue-and-green planet
This artist's concept contrasts our familiar Earth with the exceptionally strange planet known as 55 Cancri e (Image credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/R. Hurt (SSC))

What would happen if we had an additional planet in our solar system? Not in the fringes like the hypothetical Planet Nine way beyond Pluto, but smack in the middle of Mars and Jupiter?

Such a world would wreak havoc on the orbits of most planets, according to new research that simulated a super-Earth — a term used for worlds that are more massive than Earth but lighter than gas giants — and recorded the fate of all eight planets. Results show that tiniest changes in the orbit of Jupiter, which is more massive than all other planets combined, has a profound and devastating effect on the delicately balanced orbits of other planets.

"It all works like intricate clock gears," Stephen Kane, an astronomer at the University of California in Riverside and the study's sole author, said in a statement. "Throw more gears into the mix and it all breaks."

Related: Super-Earths: Exoplanets Close to Earth's Size

Our solar system was long considered a template for all planetary systems. In the last 25 years, however, it has quickly and firmly become an outlier for lacking its own super-Earth.

NASA's exoplanet hunting missions such as Kepler and Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) have helped astronomers realize that such planets are surprisingly very common in the Milky Way: A third of all exoplanets are super-Earths. They think our solar system does not have a super-Earth because Jupiter suppressed its formation when it migrated significantly toward the asteroid belt and back out again, during which it sent a lot of material onto the sun. So they have a hard time understanding such worlds that are common in other solar systems, thanks to a lack of local data that would otherwise help them model compositions and other properties.

This "has been a source of frequent frustration" among the exoplanet community, Kane told in an email. "My study was therefore intended to answer the question: What if your wish came true?"

Inner four planets are especially vulnerable 

Super-Earths can be anywhere between two to 10 times as massive as our planet, so Kane simulated planets of various masses and placed them at multiple distances in the main asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. He started with a super-Earth at twice the distance between Earth and the sun or 2 astronomical units (AU; 185 million miles or 297 million km) and increased the distance all the way to the outer edge of the asteroid belt, at 4 AU (371 million miles or 597 million km). This led to thousands of simulations, each of which began at the present time and ended 10 million years later. Every 100 years, Kane recorded the consequences to each of the eight planets in the solar system.

These outcomes showed that all four inner planets — Mercury, Venus, Mars and Earth — are particularly vulnerable to orbit changes; some or all four planets got kicked out of the solar system in many cases. None of the thousands of simulations showed Jupiter or Saturn leaving. But in a few cases, the two gas giants did toss out other planets, including the newly added super-Earth itself as well as Uranus, causing chaos among its moons.

"I wouldn't hold out too much hope for the moons remaining in stable orbits around the planet as it is sent hurtling out of the solar system," Kane said.

When a planet seven times Earth's mass like Gliese 163c was placed a little beyond Mars, the simulation showed that the orbits of all four inner planets became unstable. Earth's and Venus' orbits became eccentric or egg-shaped enough that they had "catastrophic close encounters." The change in their orbits then released energy that was transferred to Mercury, and it got kicked out soon after. Mars survived only until halftime, and Earth and Venus made their way out around eight million years.

Illustration comparing the planets of the solar system and the sun on the same scale. (The planets are shown to scale relative to each other but their distances are not.) (Image credit: Mark Garlick/Science Photo Library/Getty Images)

 Gas giants can hold their own 

Unlike terrestrial planets, gas giants, especially Jupiter and Saturn, were less severely affected by the additional planet. Their orbits were slightly unsteady only at mean-motion resonance (MMR) locations — specific spots where two planets have orbital periods that are a simple integer ratio of each other. (For example, an object in a 3:1 MMR with Jupiter orbits the sun exactly three times for every one orbit of Jupiter.) 

So when Kane placed the same Gliese 163c-like super-Earth in the outer reaches of the asteroid belt at 3.8 AU, it ended up being in a 8:5 MMR with Jupiter and a 4:1 MMR with Saturn. As a result, the orbits of both gas giants become more egg-shaped, so much so that they removed the super-Earth first and Uranus later. Kane's study found that in this case, even the slightest of changes in the outer solar system heavily influenced the inner planets; Mars was thrown out a couple million years after Uranus, for example.

"What surprised me the most in the study was the sensitivity of the overall solar system architecture to the resonances of Jupiter," Kane told in an email.

The addition of a super-Earth is least chaotic if the planet is placed towards the end of the asteroid belt near 3 AU (278 million miles or 447 million km), according to the study. Here, it would interact minimally with giant planets and cause little disruptions to the solar system, Kane argues.

Artist's concept of Kepler-62f, a super-Earth-size planet orbiting a star smaller and cooler than the sun, about 1,200 light-years from Earth.  (Image credit: NASA Ames/JPL-Caltech/Tim Pyle))

In this case, "one major lacuna that needs to be further explored is the stability of the solar system on longer timescales (say, 1 billion years)," Manasvi Lingam, an astronomer at the Florida Institute of Technology who was not involved in the study, told in an email.

Overall, the study shows "how important Jupiter is for the dynamics of the solar system," Kane told, "and that even relatively small changes can make an enormous difference in the stability of our system."

Super-Earths may be common in most solar systems because giant planets like Jupiter are a rare occurrence: Only ten percent of sun-like stars host giant planets at distances from the sun like ours, and the number drops further for older stars. 

Kane said researchers have often speculated whether our solar system could safely harbor an additional planet between Mars and Jupiter, and the answer seems to be a resounding no.

"If you are an exoplanet person and find a genie in a bottle, please don't wish that the solar system had a super-Earth," Kane tweeted. "You might accidentally destabilize the solar system!"

The research is described in a paper published Feb. 28 in The Planetary Science Journal.

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Sharmila Kuthunur contributor

Sharmila Kuthunur is a Seattle-based science journalist covering astronomy, astrophysics and space exploration. Follow her on X @skuthunur.

  • rod
    The simulation shows real problems with Earth and terrestrial planets in 10^7 years or so.

    The planet that could end life on Earth: Experiment demonstrates solar system's fragility,
    What would happen if the solar system gained a super-Earth?,
    ref - The Dynamical Consequences of a Super-Earth in the Solar System,, 22-Feb-2023.

    My observation. While the simulation uses 10^7 year timescale, the introduction of a super-earth to our solar system could create very chaotic conditions for our habitable earth and life on it. Good we do not have a super-earth or super-earths orbiting in our solar system. Using 3 earth mass super-earth, a=3.0 au, e=0, P=5.1965E+00 years. In 1 Gyr this super earth could complete 1.9244E+08 revolutions around the Sun. The simulation shows instabilities and chaotic conditions develop within 10^7 year time scales for various simulated conditions using super earths of different masses. Applying a 5 year orbital period, about 2 million revolutions take place and problems show up for our solar system, and inner terrestrial planets.

    Other planetary configurations documented today would likely raise serious problems for Earth too.

    Two exoplanets orbiting a sun-like star discovered,
    ref - A Jupiter analogue and a cold Super-Neptune orbiting the solar-twin star HIP 104045,, 02-March-2023.

    My observation. The site shows both b and c here and 1.03 Msun host star. Applying the MMSN, 3.429310E+03 earth masses for total dust and gas protoplanetary disc. The super-Neptune exoplanet is about 0.92 au from the star and 0.5 Mjup exoplanet at 3.46 au. The configuration of these large exoplanets found orbiting a solar type of star contrast sharply with the planetary configuration in our solar system where we have a very habitable earth orbiting the Sun today.
  • billslugg
    As I understand it, the presence of Jupiter is insufficient to disrupt the Earth's orbit. A super Earth in the vicinity of the asteroid belt would be sufficient to disrupt Earth but the tidal effects of Jupiter prevented such a planet from forming.
  • rod
    billslugg said:
    As I understand it, the presence of Jupiter is insufficient to disrupt the Earth's orbit. A super Earth in the vicinity of the asteroid belt would be sufficient to disrupt Earth but the tidal effects of Jupiter prevented such a planet from forming.

    Do you have a reference for this? As I read the reference paper on this super-earth simulation, Jupiter and Saturn could have some issues too.
  • billslugg
    No reference, I have no idea where it came from. And yes, with a super Earth in the mix, even the big planets would be at risk.