WASHINGTON (AP) - More than
9,000 pieces of space debris are orbiting the Earth, a hazard that can only be
expected to get worse in the next few years. And currently there's no workable
and economic way to clean up the mess.
space junk measuring 4 inches or more total some 5,500 tons, according
to a report by NASA scientists J.-C. Liou and N. L. Johnson in Friday's issue
of the journal Science.
Even if space launches were
halted now - which will not happen - the collection of debris would continue growing as items
already in orbit collide and break into more pieces, Liou said in a telephone
interview.
"On the other hand, we are
not claiming the sky is falling,'' he said, "We just need to understand what
the risks are.''
The most debris-crowded
area is between 550 miles and 625 miles above the Earth, Liou said, meaning the
risk is less for manned spaceflight. The International Space Station operates
at about 250 miles altitude, and Space Shuttle flights tend to range between
250 miles and 375 miles, he said.
But the junk can pose a
risk to commercial and research flights and other space activities.
Much of the debris results
from explosions of satellites, especially old upper stages left in orbit with
leftover fuel and high pressure fluids.
A 2004 NASA report
identified Russia as the source of the largest number of debris items, closely
followed by the United States. Other sources were France, China, India, Japan
and the European Space Agency.
Even without any launches
adding to the junk, the creation of new debris from collisions of material
already there will exceed the amount of material removed as orbits decay and
items fall back to Earth, the researchers estimated.
Only removal of existing
large objects from orbit "can prevent future problems for research in and
commercialization of space,'' they wrote.
"As of now there is no
viable solution, technically and economically, to remove objects from space,''
Liou said. He said he hopes the report will encourage researchers to think
about better ways to do this.
Tethers to slow down
orbiting materials and cause them to fall back to Earth sooner could work, but
attaching tethers to the space junk would be excessively expensive for the benefit
gained, the researchers said.
Newly launched satellites
and boosters could include engines that would direct them back to Earth, but
that would require costly and complex power and control systems.
And use of ground-based
lasers to disturb the orbits of satellites isn't practical because of the mass
of the satellites and the amount of energy that would be needed.
"The bottom line is very
simple.'' Liou said. "Although the risk is small, we need to pay attention to
this environmental problem.''