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Moon Base Would Scan The Sky, And Deflect Threats To Earth

By Leonard David
Senior Space Writer
posted: 07:00 am ET
12 December 2001

lunar_caps_011212

HAMPTON, VIRGINIA -- Think of the Earth tagged with a huge sign: WARNING! FALLING ROCKS.

Odds are good that our planet will be slam-banged by an asteroid or a comet. It is far from being just a science fiction thriller, played out for popcorn-crunching movie audiences and subject to bad reviews.

There are certifiable, true-to-life "rocky horror shows" in our future...and the picture is not pretty.

Engineers and scientists here at NASA’s Langley Research Center are sketching out space-based systems to spot mega and mini-hazards headed this way. One favored place for setting up an astronomical alarm system is on Earth’s moon.
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   Images

After an Earth-threatening asteroid or comet had been detected and tracked, Moon-based lasers would target the object ...


The heat of the laser striking the asteroid or comet would create thrust, hopefully diverting its orbit ...


If all goes well, the effects of multiple laser pulses would shift the object's orbit away from the Earth.


Asteroid 951 Gaspra is a mosaic of two images taken by Galileo about 3300 miles away on 10/29/1991. It is about 11 miles long. The irregular shape of the asteroid suggests that it may be the result of a catastrophic collision of a larger ast eroid.

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Trouble makers

A large number of asteroids larger than a half-mile (1 kilometer) across lurk in orbits that bring them close to Earth. Objects that size can be real troublemakers.

If any one of them were to hit our planet, social and environmental havoc would ensue. Locating the whereabouts of a majority of these objects is the central task of several ground-based telescopic searches now underway.

But watching out for these big bruisers is not the whole story, explains Dan Mazanek, a NASA Langley engineer who leads the Comet/Asteroid Protection System (CAPS) study [see video]. The NASA, industry and university teams tackling these issues are undertaking their research as part of the center’s Revolutionary Aerospace Systems Concepts (RASC) program.

Mazanek told SPACE.com that a far greater number of near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) exist that are around 300 feet (100 meters) across or smaller. Millions of these size objects may exist, he said.

"What we’re undertaking with CAPS is finding out what it takes to expand the range of detectable objects both in size and distance, to try and cover the entire hazard," Mazanek said. The hope is coming up with technology and a strategy to scan the entire celestial sky on a regular basis, to create a continuous warning system that can be implemented within 20 to 40 years.

The RASC goal is to develop a system concept that maximizes the range of detectable objects, and provides a high probability that the objects will be detected with significant warning time, even upon their first observed near-Earth approach.

CAPS-sized

CAPS study members are evaluating a range of threats.

For one, smaller-sized asteroids could cause localized damage. Impact near an urban area or coastline could result in considerable loss of life, extensive damage, and economic disruption. Potentially, even a smaller-sized asteroid hit could rack up trillions of dollars worth of destruction.

In all probability, Mazanek said, the next object that does hit us will be in the 165 feet (50 meter) to 330 feet (100 meter) size. "We hope it hits somewhere without ramifications," he said.

Then there are the nastier long period comets. They do not regularly saunter their way into near-Earth space, having orbital periods that can measure many millions of years before announcing themselves. They too are a possible threat and can offer little or no warning time using conventional ground-based telescopes, Mazanek noted.

"In all likelihood, the ground-based telescopes are not going to have the sensitivity to pick up these objects with enough time," Mazanek pointed out. The group has set as a benchmark the spotting of a one kilometer-sized comet at 5 to 7 Astronomical Units (AU) from Earth. One AU is roughly 93 million miles (150 million kilometers). "Depending on its orbital trajectory, that would give you somewhere around a year’s worth of warning time," he said.

Then there are objects that get perturbed, making their whereabouts a chancy state of affairs. "A whole host of objects exist that, over a period of time, their orbits will change. Being able to pick those out would be beneficial," Mazanek stated.

Next page: Warning time

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