This story was updated Friday, May 29, at 12 p.m. EDT.
If it weren't for the weather, SpaceX (opens in new tab) would have made history Wednesday (May 27) with its first astronaut launch. Now the company will have to wait three more days to take another shot at the monumental mission.
SpaceX called off the launch (opens in new tab) of its Crew Dragon spacecraft from Kennedy Space Center in Florida about 17 minutes before the planned liftoff due to unfavorable weather conditions. The crewed test flight, called Demo-2 (opens in new tab), is now slated for a second launch attempt on Saturday (May 30), with a backup launch window on Sunday (May 31). The Saturday launch attempt would be at 3:22 p.m. EDT (1922 GMT), while the Sunday attempt would lift off at 3 p.m. EDT (1900 GMT).
If Mother Nature cooperates this weekend, Bob Behnken (opens in new tab) and Doug Hurley (opens in new tab) will become the first NASA astronauts to fly to the to the International Space Station in a commercial spacecraft and the first astronauts to launch to orbit from the U.S. in nearly a decade. But more bad weather could push the mission to June.
Full coverage: SpaceX's historic Demo-2 astronaut launch explained
In its latest launch weather forecast, issued today at 9 a.m. EDT (1300 GMT), the U.S. Air Force's 45th Space Wing predicted a 50% chance (opens in new tab) of unfavorable weather conditions that would prevent SpaceX from launching the Demo-2 mission on both Saturday and Sunday.
Their forecast cites rain, anvil clouds and cumulus clouds as "primary concerns" on Saturday, and adds thick clouds to the list of possible weather violations on Sunday.
The 50% chance of a weather violation is about even with the weather forecast SpaceX and NASA were facing with the first launch attempt, and is a slightly better forecast for Saturday. Previous forecast set the chances of bad weather at 60%.
If SpaceX opts to forgo Saturday's launch window and aim for Sunday, the forecast is much better. There is only a 40% chance of bad launch weather at liftoff for that day.
Rain, a thick cloud layer and cumulus clouds are the main concern on Sunday.
The bad weather looming over Florida right now is related to Tropical Storm Bertha (opens in new tab), which made landfall in South Carolina Wednesday morning.
Luckily, Bertha shouldn't pose a threat to Florida's Space Coast this weekend; the National Weather Center (opens in new tab) said the storm's center was near the Great Lakes by the end of the day on Thursday (May 28), and that it will dissipate in the next two days. However, the clouds left in the storm's wake could still prevent SpaceX from launching this weekend.
To launch the mission, not only will the weather at the launch site need to be clear, but the weather down range must also provide a safe area for the Crew Dragon spacecraft to splash down in the event of a launch abort (opens in new tab). If something goes wrong after the liftoff, the capsule will be ejected from the rocket and splash down in the Atlantic Ocean, where search and recovery teams must pull the astronauts to safety.
If the weather doesn't cooperate this weekend, SpaceX could push the launch to the first week of June, but additional backup launch windows have not yet been officially announced.
As of now, Demo-2 is scheduled to make its second launch attempt on Saturday at 3:22 p.m. EDT (1922 GMT). You can tune in to live coverage of the launch here on Space.com (opens in new tab), courtesy of NASA TV.
Editor's note: This story was updated Friday, May 29, 12 p.m. EDT with the latest forecast from the U.S. Air Force's 45th Weather Squadron.
- SpaceX's Crew Dragon returns to shore after successful abort test (photos) (opens in new tab)
- How SpaceX's Dragon space capsule works (infographic) (opens in new tab)
- For SpaceX's historic astronaut launch, the stakes have never been higher (opens in new tab)
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