The Space News article by Colin Clark
["NRO Loses Decision Authority on BASIC Imaging Satellite Program," March 10,
page 1] stated that senior defense officials have stripped the National
Reconnaissance Office (NRO) of its procurement and milestone authority for the Broad
Area Satellite Imagery Collection (BASIC) satellite program. It appears that
the NRO had jumped the gun on initiating a BASIC space hardware procurement, a
process that now has been arrested until the acquisition undergoes accelerated
due process by a Joint Analysis Team, recently convened at the behest of John Young,
the undersecretary of Defense for acquisition, technology and logistics.
Thank goodness for the cooler heads
over at the office of Director of National Intelligence and senior levels of
the Defense Department. The NRO has no plausible justification for building and
operating an expensive government system when there are commercial
alternatives.
Recall that
this is the same NRO who brought us the Future Imagery Architecture (FIA) program,
a staggering tale of mismanagement and cost over-runs that was extensively
detailed in a November 2007 New York Times article by Philip Taubman, "Failure to
Launch: In Death of Spy Satellite Program, Lofty Plans and Unrealistic Bids."
Taubman described FIA as "perhaps the most spectacular and expensive failure in
the 50-year history of American spy satellite projects."
FIA was,
without even a touch of hyperbole, a FIAsco, or in Taubman's words, a "debacle."
Despite actual expenditures approaching $10 billion, five years of schedule slip,
and with projected cost over-runs estimated at $13 billion when the program was
canceled in 2005, all that has been launched into orbit so far is some inoperable
space junk that had to be shot down in February by the Navy.
So how then did the rogue NRO get the
BASIC program onto the drawing board in the first place? It seems that a cornerstone
of the justification came from a study submitted July 16 to Vice Adm. Robert B.
Murrett, director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, and NRO Director
Donald M. Kerr. The report, "Independent Study of the Roles of Commercial
Remote Sensing in the Future National System for Geospatial-Intelligence (NSG)
Final Report," known as the Marino Report, was written by Peter Marino, chair
of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency Advisory Group. Kerr has since
moved to the No. 2 position in the Director of National Intelligence office.
The report
recommends that the U.S. government build and launch a constellation of mid-resolution
satellites, like those proposed in the BASIC program, but perhaps permit
commercial entities to either use the satellites for commercial purposes or buy
satellites alongside the government, thereby lowering the companies' satellite
acquisition costs. The Marino Report would have the government meet their
internal Tier 2 mid-resolution imaging requirements with NRO-built classified
proprietary satellites.
To put it
plainly, the Marino Report is flawed. It is as if the answer was whispered into
the study panel's ears by the NRO before the study began. And what was the answer?
That the NRO needs to build, launch, own and operate lots of satellites just
like the ones the commercial remote sensing firms — GeoEye and DigitalGlobe —
are launching.
Amongst its
other weaknesses, the Marino Report makes a number of crucial misjudgments. The
report states an overriding requirement that: "The U.S. government cannot rely
on or be dependent on any external entity to responsively get needed data." This
statement carries the false implication that only NRO-owned and -operated
satellites can meet this requirement. However, fully cleared U.S. commercial
firms such as GeoEye and DigitalGlobe can, through service-level agreements
specifying tasking priority such as those developed for the NextView program,
provide the same assured access to imagery data as the government gets from its
own satellites. Moreover, commandeering provisions could be established for
times of national emergency.
The Marino
Report goes on to assess that the government would face a higher risk in
getting its needed capabilities from commercial data providers than it would
from its own proprietary birds. Well, if the NRO is going to manage the program
then that judgment becomes very dubious, if anyone has learned anything at all
from FIA. In the meantime, both DigitalGlobe's and GeoEye's NextView
satellites, though somewhat delayed, are making fine progress with one on orbit
and the other headed for the launch pad. Both systems can perform broad area
collection.
The Marino
Report makes a key omission when it fails to discuss one of the great benefits
of commercial remote sensing data: it can be shared with anyone. While NRO
source imagery remains classified and locked behind a firewall, commercial imagery
can be readily used by soldiers in the field, shared with allies from any
nation, and used by every first-responder in America. This is a benefit of
immeasurable importance to the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency's emerging
mission.
And finally the Marino Report makes
what appears to be a lame attempt to circumvent repeated presidential policy
directives to the intelligence community to utilize commercial remote sensing.
National Security Presidential Directive 27 – U.S. Commercial Remote Sensing
Policy of 2003 states that the U.S. government shall "rely to the maximum practical
extent on U.S. commercial remote sensing space capabilities for filling imagery
and geospatial needs for military, intelligence, foreign policy, homeland
security, and civil users." It further unambiguously defines commercial remote
sensing as "privately owned and operated space systems." The Marino Report has
the temerity to suggest that satellite manufacturers such as Lockheed Martin
Space Systems are "commercial" entities, almost no different from GeoEye and
DigitalGlobe. Please.
Most
damning, it is unclear whether the report's recommendations would leave the
commercial remote sensing companies with a viable business model, given their
reliance on revenue from the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. It looks
like the NRO is swooping in on the customer, unwilling to cede its long-held
turf providing broad-area mid-resolution imagery to the National
Geospatial-Intelligence Agency to support mapping.
The NRO has
a higher mission in satellite imaging: to provide very high-resolution imagery from
a constellation of very exquisite, agile platforms in near real-time. This
mission is vital to national security. The NRO is having difficulty meeting
this Tier 1 mission, because of its internal disarray as evidenced by spectacular
program failures like FIA. The agency clearly needs to expend its monetary
resources and management attention on solving this critical national
requirement. Why then does the NRO insist upon mounting programs that can be amply
fulfilled by the commercial remote sensing industry? It reminds you of
Talleyrand's dismissal of the revivalist Bourbon kings after the French
revolution: "They have learned nothing, they have forgotten nothing."
Some
oversight is required here. The NRO simply must learn to accept that the
commercial remote sensing industry is very cost effective, can serve the
National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency exceptionally well, and is here to stay.
I implore John Young's Joint Analysis Team, chaired by Josh Hartman, to accept
the inevitable migration of the Tier 2 imagery requirement to the commercial remote
sensing data providers under the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency
service-level agreements. Any other outcome would contravene both the spirit and
the letter of National Security Presidential Directive 27.
Edward Jurkevics is a principal
analyst at Chesapeake Analytics Corp., whose clients include the U.S.
government and commercial remote sensing firms.