In recent years, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) programs have
received more attention and more funding from the U.S. military, as well as
from Israel, several European nations and Russia, as a cheaper
alternative to manned aircraft for a variety of missions.
The
trend is only accelerating as a growing list of countries turn to UAVs for their military potential. Even civil and commercial users are
beginning to weigh the costs and benefits of UAVs for
other uses, experts said.
"The whole thing about
the operation of UAVs is that it isn't so exotic anymore," said Larry
Dickerson, an unmanned systems analyst for Forecast International Inc. of Newtown, Conn. "People are becoming
more comfortable with the whole idea, to a point."
UAVs are just beginning
to be exploited for uses beyond military surveillance, according to experts,
and are being groomed to become faster, more reliable and to have enhanced
capabilities.
The international
landscape
While
the United States has equipped some of its UAVs, such
as the Predator, with weapons, others rely on UAVs for less exotic missions. "The difference between the U.S. UAV
programs and the programs we see in other countries is that elsewhere, the emphasis
is very much on surveillance," said Jim Lewis, a senior fellow at the Center for
Strategic and International Studies. "The UAV is a cheap way for them to duplicate
the surveillance capabilities the U.S. can get from satellites. They haven't
looked as closely at weaponization; at least, no one is admitting that in
public."
There
has been an increase in interest in UAVs in countries in Asia and the Middle East,
according to Dickerson.
"There's
a much larger number of countries coming out and actually saying, 'Yes, we're
going to pursue UAVs," Dickerson said.
Japan
is looking at producing a high-end UAV system which can do over-ocean surveillance
and high-altitude surveillance, while countries like South Korea and Taiwan are
hoping to build long-endurance vehicles that can be used over international airspace, he
said.
"You're
also seeing more cooperation at the high-end between countries," Dickerson
said. As countries look to equip their UAVs with additional capabilities, companies
from different countries that produce them might choose to pair
with each other to develop a particular project.
Improving
technologies
UAV
usage may be growing, and their capabilities are increasing, but their bodies are
actually getting smaller, Dickerson said. Companies are attempting to produce lightweight
(2-5 kilogram), portable UAVs that could be hand launched or
launched off of a small truck.
Experts
agreed that the U.S. Army wants to see more easily deployed vehicles with increased combat
capabilities. They also want to be able to use multiple UAVs together to perform
certain tasks in formation.
"The
whole thing is: 'Make it do more,'" Dickerson said.
But
as the use of UAVs becomes more prevalent, the amount of bandwidth necessary
to keep them functioning becomes a problem, he said.
"UAVs
are actually interfering with each other," Dickerson said. "It's escalating
slowly. That's going to be a technology problem we'll have to address just
because there's so much noise up there."
As
shooting capabilities increase, though, users are going to have to do a cost/benefit
analysis of whether the vehicles are worth the added expense.
"The
problem is, that adds to the weight and the cost and the technological difficulties,
almost to where it gets more expensive than a regular manned vehicle," said Victoria Samson, a research analyst
for the Center for Defense Information here. "People have to ask themselves, 'OK, what benefit am I getting with a
UAV with these added bells and whistles?'"
In
terms of production, UAVs are still a market in which small companies can
enter, Dickerson said, but the trend is shifting away from that direction.
"Now
it's coming to the point where UAV contracts are with the big companies," Dickerson
said. "As requirements are getting more complicated, the small companies are
teaming their electronic expertise with deep-pocket backing."
Comments:
mfrederick@space.com