If a picture is worth 1,000 words, then
in Washington a good buzzword must be worth at least that many PowerPoint
charts. That certainly seems to be the case with Operationally Responsive Space
(ORS). Although penciled-in for a modest $35 million in 2007 (out of
an Air Force space budget request of nearly $10 billion), this program is
commanding a significant amount of official attention these days.
Like
all good buzzwords, ORS encourages a certain definitional entrepreneurship
among its devotees. A quick visit to the Internet reveals that ORS is,
alternately, "a new business model," a low-cost launch vehicle, a program to develop
blimps and "near space" platforms, a small satellite program, a global strike
weapon and (my personal favorite) part of an "unblinking eye offering
persistent surveillance over the battle-space."
Although
the exact definition of ORS may remain in transition, its origins and intents
are relatively straightforward. ORS recognizes that space systems and technologies
are essential to the U.S. warfighter and primarily are responsible for
conferring the "information dominance" on which the U.S. and allied troops currently
rely.
Today, space power is dependent on large and expensive satellites
which, for the most part, cannot be reconstituted quickly if compromised. Those
within the Department of Defense and Congress
whose job it is to worry that "bad things that can happen
probably will" have begun to express concern.
Adding fuel to the ORS fire is congressional irritation over perceived
underperformance of nearly all major military space development programs.
Although there is reasonable consensus on the desirability of promised future space
technologies, there is a general skepticism whether the current acquisition
system can deliver on those promises. As a result, there have been increasingly
strident calls for more flexible and responsive space strategies.
The commercial satellite services industry has been, for the
most part, a spectator in the early stages of the ORS debate. Given the program's
focus on small satellite and launch vehicle development, little consideration
has been given to how the roughly 240 large commercial communications
satellites currently in orbit can contribute to ORS requirements. But now that the
ORS debate seems to be moving into the mainstream, it is time to think beyond
hardware development and to refocus on meeting core communications objectives. In
other words, it is time to put the "operational" into Operationally Responsive
Space.
The ability to put hardware into space is meaningful only if
that hardware meets the user community's needs. Today, DoD is challenging the
satellite services industry to provide ever greater bandwidth to a widening
variety of platforms in both fixed and mobile environments. Spectrum-hungry applications
such as unmanned aerial vehicles are proliferating. To be effective, space
systems must be supported by appropriately trained personnel, ground terminals
and equipment and a robust logistics system. The current debate on ORS, while
focused on near-term technical milestones, may underestimate the complexity of
integrating relatively "thin" rapid response capabilities into complex
communications networks. Text-message capability on a mobile phone is good, but
it is no substitute for a computer with a broadband connection.
DoD can enhance its space operations posture and accelerate its long-term transformational communication
objectives by making a few important changes in its relationship with the
commercial satellite industry. It has been widely reported that more than 80
percent of DoD communications use commercial
satellites, yet the Pentagon still procures satellite capacity one year at
a time. By keeping the industry at arm's length, it cuts itself off from the
resources and dynamism of the private sector. (Note, for example, the ease with
which the satellite radio operators modified their systems to provide new
emergency services only days after Hurricane Katrina.) Part of the goal of ORS
is to release the creativity of satellite developers by freeing them from the
strictures of the normal acquisition processes.
Similarly, to derive new operationally responsive approaches
to satellite communications, procurement officials must be prepared to rethink
old models and to take prudent risk. For example, DoD would do well to consider:
- Developing a "Network Approach" to
satellite utilization -- There has been much discussion recently about the vulnerability
of commercial satellites. This reflects a narrow procurement approach that views
every lease as an isolated link connecting A to B through transponder C.
However, each commercial satellite serves multiple regions --
every potential hot spot on Earth can be served by dozens of commercial
satellites. Recent and planned industry consolidation means that certain global
operators can provide enhanced connectivity and increased redundancy to
mitigate the effects of satellite anomalies, whether accidental or intentional.
This commercial trend also has produced a satellite industry that is better
able to provide bandwidth portability and interference resolution through path
diversity.
Beyond these advantages, a creative procurement strategy
might look to empower virtual integrators with deep knowledge of DoD enterprise requirements and the ability to work across
diverse commercial fleets, and highly flexible (and cost-effective) ground systems,
to provide service and resolve problems. Yet, surprisingly, there has been no
significant effort to take advantage of the flexibility that does, or easily
could, exist.
- Pre-positioning
capacity around the globe -- It is DoD's practice to pre-position strategic materials
around the globe in anticipation of a future need to ensure that future
operations can proceed without unnecessary logistical delay. DoD needs to rethink
its satellite-procurement practice in light of this simple fact.
With a modest budget, DoD could put in place a limited number
of strategic long-term purchases that likely would significantly
save the government cost and ensure satellite capacity when needed. These
purchases would reflect current DoD strategic plans and could be pre-positioned
over critical geographic theatres.
With a minimal amount of planning, this pre-positioned capacity
could include steerable spot beams (perhaps with switchable connectivity) to
confer additional flexibility. With additional resources and planning, future
generations of satellites could contain advanced beam-shaping technologies that
would allow the satellites to adapt to shifting theatre connectivity
requirements.
- Flying
government payloads on commercial satellites -- As a result of industry growth, there are approximately 70 large
communications satellites scheduled for launch in the next five years. Since a central tenant
to ORS is the desire to proliferate the opportunities to go to space with new
technology and hardware while training a new generation of engineers -- this great number of commercial flights must
be regarded as a remarkable opportunity.
This is in no sense a novel idea. In the early 1970s, Comsat was considering launching
the Marisat satellites to provide L-band communications to ships at sea.
The U.S. Navy, which at the time was working on its own UHF Fleet Satellite
Communications System program, jump-started the programming by
flying a UHF payload on the Marisat satellites. The resulting relationship
helped the Navy define its own program and created a partnership that lasted more than 20 years. In addition, this
decision assisted in the launch of Marisat and, by extension, Inmarsat -- a
result that continues to pay significant dividends to the U.S. military. As the
Air Force moves toward the implementation of the Transformational Communications
Architecture, it should seek similar opportunities.
- Buying
commercially operated dedicated satellites -- Commercial
satellite operators also could play a direct role in government satellite
operations. Given their long experience in operating diverse fleets, this could
offer a cost-effective approach for expanding government capabilities. Commercial
operators could build satellites to operate in the commercial or government
frequency bands. The satellites could be fixed or highly maneuverable. They could
be launched into standard or exotic orbits, as required.
An example of such an arrangement is the recent U.K. award
to Paradigm Secure Communications to operate Skynet 4 and 5. In addition to
operating the satellites, Paradigm also is responsible for network management, end-to-end
satellite communications solutions including maritime and transportable terminals, and
advanced technical solutions. Whether such an approach is relevant to the U.S.
experience is unclear, but it should be watched closely.
ORS provides the space industry with an
opportunity. Not because it may develop a small, inexpensive launch vehicle or
satellites, but because it provides us all with an
opportunity to rethink our approach to meeting our complex and expanding future
needs. ORS should not be about settling for less capability, but about getting more
capability for less.
Richard
DalBello is vice president of Intelsat General Corp.