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A mounting stack of evidence suggests that asteroids and comets are the leading cause of terrestrial death, delivering immensely fatal blows every 100 million years or so that wipe the slate of life frighteningly close to clean in remarkably rapid fashion.


Animation shows how ancient asteroid made Jell-O of Earth in an impact that left a crater rim and a mysterious central ring.


A plot of data on life extinctions, collected by Raup and Sepkoski at the University of Chicago, shows peaks in the extinction rate occurring at 26- to 30-million-year intervals, as indicated by arrows. Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab
Asteroid Belt Like Ours Spotted Around Another Star
How an Asteroid Impact Causes Extinction
Mass Extinction & Rise of Dinosaurs Tied to Cosmic Collision
Jell-O of Earth
Mercury Accused of Dislodging Asteroid that Doomed Dinosaurs
By SPACE.com Staff

posted: 07:00 am ET
29 June 2001

Can run anytime

An asteroid is known to have spelled death for most dinosaurs 65 million years ago after slamming into Earth and triggering a chain reaction of environmental catastrophes that might have ranged from years of winter-like weather to a global firestorm.

The Five Worst Extinctions
The C-T extinction was no picnic but it was not the deadliest extinction in the history of Earth's life. Click here for a list of the five most lethal extinctions on our planet.

But what cosmic machinations flung that particular asteroid at Earth at that moment in history?

A new computer simulation suggests that a wobble in the orbit of Mercury may be the root cause of the dinosaur disaster. The speculative work, led by Bruce Runnegar from the University of California at Los Angeles' Center for Astrobiology, was reported this week by New Scientist magazine.

Asteroid experts and paleontologists generally agree that a large space rock hit Earth and brought on the end of the Cretaceous period, along with the downfall of dinosaurs and many other species. Solid evidence exists in the form of a large, mostly submerged crater centered on Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula. The crater is dated to a time when fossil evidence shows a mass die-off of small critters around the world.

Runnegar says changes in Earth's orbit triggered a significant adjustment in Mercury's orbit 65 million years ago, which caused a tug on the asteroid belt, a region of space between Mars and Jupiter that is littered with space rocks. Asteroids in a certain part of the belt would have then had a greater chance of getting knocked out of place, Runnegar and his colleagues claim.

While the shake-up would not have sent a shower of asteroids Earthward, at least one rock might have been dislodged and sent on a course toward Earth, Runnegar said. "It's quite plausible that some of the asteroids were affected," he told the magazine.

Other researchers were skeptical.

"I can't believe that Mercury has an effect on anything in the Solar System," said Mark Bailey, director of the Armagh Observatory in Northern Ireland.

Bailey did not discount the computer modeling itself, but said the link between that and the dinosaurs was tenuous at best.

Runnegar and his colleagues mapped out 250 million years of solar system dynamics, studying in particular the times when each planet was closest to the Sun, a point called perihelion. Because all the planets exert a tug on each other, the period of this perihelion changes slightly over time.

The researchers plan to run the model forward now in an attempt to forecast future disasters.

Click here for more news and information about asteroids.

 

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