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Torino Scale: Disaster Yardstick in Search of a Role
The Byzantine Politics of Science
By Robert Roy Britt
Senior Science Writer
posted: 01:41 pm ET
03 November 1999

The Byzantine Politics of Science

Much of the criticism Brain Marsden, director of the Minor Planet Center, has of the Torino Scale is political in nature. He accuses officials of holding "secret" meetings about the idea and giving it a tacit nod without presenting it to the proper committees.

"The next thing that happened," Marsden says, "after secret and minimal discussion by two or three non-members, was the NASA/MIT press release that claimed that the IAU had adopted it. The actual IAU leadership position was that, OK, it is a 'tool' that can be used, amended or discarded as appropriate. I am utterly amazed at statements from some of the NASA leadership to the effect that the scale is the greatest thing since sliced whatever."

In the original press release, Carl Pilcher, science director for solar system exploration in NASA's Office of Space Science, called the scale "a major advance in our ability to explain the hazard proposed by a particular NEO."

Binzel agrees that the process of approval did not strictly follow IAU guidelines, and that "where it is within the IAU is a fuzzy thing." But he points out that every effort was made to get the wording correct, and the IAU General Secretary approved the press releases.

Among researchers, these processes have not helped to buoy support for the Torino Scale as much as a more formal approach might have.

At Liverpool John Moores University, Dr. Benny Peiser moderates an often controversial but widely read scholarly electronic newsletter. Peiser's CCNet covers all aspects of what the professor calls neocatastrophism. Daily, asteroids and the threat of impact dominate the articles, news items, open thoughts and sometimes-biting criticisms.

Peiser, who supports the Torino Scale but expects it will need to evolve, says the controversy stems in part from the fact that it did not go through a proper review process. He says the details for refining the scale were entrusted to the IAU and the scientific committee at a June IMPACT meeting in Torino, Italy, where the scale was presented and approved (in principle, he notes).

"Given that significant objections in addition to relevant suggestions for improvement were made public at the IMPACT meeting, the failure to submit the Torino Scale for scientific review appears to have had a detrimental effect," Peiser told space.com.

 

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