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2000 Christmas Solar Eclipse
The Future of Human Spaceflight: We Go 'Round In Circles
By Leonard David
Senior Space Writer
posted: 07:00 am ET
19 February 2002

Biomedical bad news

Given 40 years of human spaceflight, and the great number of men and women that have risen to the heights and sped through space, one would assume that a solid database exists regarding human response to microgravity.

That's not the case, said Jack Schmitt, Apollo 17 moonwalker, former U.S. Senator, and now aerospace consultant in Albuquerque, New Mexico. He is also an adjunct professor of engineering at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

"From the standpoint of looking far into the future, the number one impediment to long-term utilization and indeed, ultimate settlement of space, is that we don't understand human adaptation. We've got some insights. But we don't have the scientific basis to practice occupational medicine in space," Schmitt told SPACE.com. "There has not been what I would call a scientifically credible research program, either by the United States or by the former Soviet Union, now Russia, to tackle that particular problem."

Buckled up with no place to go

Schmitt said that in Mercury and the follow-on Gemini spacecraft programs, astronauts were buckled up for safety big time. "They were strapped down. They couldn't move. So the immediate symptoms that are motion sickness-like…they were not seen," he said.

More roomy Apollo spacecraft permitted astronauts to move about. The result was a multi-sensory conflict in astronauts, brought on primarily by weightlessness, Schmitt said. Not only has there not been a comprehensive approach to understanding space adaptation, he said, the astronauts are the wrong test subjects in the first place.

"They all have a conflict of interest. They want to stay flying," Schmitt said.

Today NASA has, along with its partners, a world-class facility in the International Space Station, Schmitt continued, a facility that can be adapted to do world-class biomedical research. "The unfortunate thing is that NASA is not a world-class biomedical research organization."

Schmitt stressed that NASA and the National Institutes of Health (NIH) must form a partnership. In doing so, credible and critical biomedical research can be done to grapple with issues of human adaptation to space.

NExT up?

There is widespread belief among space advocates that NASA is no longer the agency it once was. Not that its exploratory talents can't be resuscitated, but it is likely that out-of-control costs to finish the International Space Station is a signal of bigger woes plaguing the agency.

"The financial and program management structure of NASA is a shambles, as everybody who has looked at it has said in numerous reports," Schmitt said. "First thing you've got to do is repair the agency so it can do anything. That's a two to three year job," he said.

Even within the agency, studies focused on post-space station goals get hush-hush treatment. One group is called the NASA Exploration Team (NExT). They have outlined a smart, ready-to-go masterplan. It is a sweeping blueprint that first calls for utilization of the Sun-Earth-Moon libration points, building up a human presence at those locales. From these gateways, an eventual return to the Moon, trips to asteroids, and a grand leap to Mars can be orchestrated. The gateways would be busy hubs of incoming and outgoing traffic.

But for now, with the agency on probation for mishandling the space station, such blue-sky thinking is given silent status for the time being.

Crystal ball gazing

Taking the long look out over the next 40 years is tough to do, admitted NASA's senior historian, Roger Launius. "My crystal ball is not very good. Obviously, we don't know. Space and Earth orbit has become an area in which we are still learning things, but it's not the exploring arena that it had been previously," he said.

The International Space Station could be the anchor tenant for a giant research park in space. Hypersonic aircraft propelling people around the planet may become feasible. A Moon base is a reasoned possibility - all of these might well become part of NASA's agenda over the next 40 to 50 years, Launius said.

Whatever the future holds, it is obvious that American and international space prowess has greatly matured since John Glenn's quick foray into space.

"Perhaps it was unreasonable to have expected the exceptional pace of the past to have continued at such a rapid clip. Yet it is not clear why this is the case," said Lewis Peach, chief engineer of the Universities Space Research Association (USRA) in Columbia, Maryland.

"Certainly space still inspires and motivates us. Clearly, the more we have learned, the greater awareness how much more there is to discover. There are so many unfilled promises of that early era that still allude us," Peach said.

Peach said that he views the space program as standing at the center of a balance beam, which is the center on a fulcrum. Where today is the pivot point, we can look one way, back into the past…the other towards the future.

"Unfortunately, perhaps an objective measure of the balance beam today would weigh the accomplishments of the past more favorably than the near-term vision and anticipated progress of the future. This is not a good situation. But fortunately it is recoverable, with the right leadership, public will, and determination," Peach concluded.

Where to now?

The breakout of humans from low Earth orbit is not going to happen anytime soon, said John Logsdon, director of the Space Policy Institute at George Washington University in Washington, D.C.

Forty years after John Glenn's ground-breaking flight, a lot of the pioneering spirit has gone out of the U.S. human space flight effort, he senses.

"The whole world watched as Glenn orbited the Earth. Now virtually no one can name the three crew members aboard the International Space Station; indeed, most people are probably not even aware that there are humans in orbit on a permanent basis. There are no exciting destinations on the horizon; the reality, despite the hopes of a few enthusiasts, is that human space flight will be confined to Earth orbit for the foreseeable future," Logsdon said.

This is not all bad news, the space policy expert added.

"Using human flight as a symbol of American power and as a source of American pride was a temporary asset to the nation. The focus now on people doing valuable things in space is appropriate; it is no longer appropriate to justify the costs and risks of human flight on such intangible grounds as power and pride. The International Space Station, despite its current problems in expanding to a larger crew, is the right program for humans to demonstrate their scientific and economic value as orbital workers," Logsdon said.

In addition, space is very slowly being opened to access by "normal" people, as long as you are wealthy, Logsdon emphasized. "The flight of Dennis Tito last year and of Mark Shuttleworth next April are the harbinger of broader human access to space in coming years. For the United States, John Glenn blazed the path to space. Now we are entering a period when more humans can follow that path," he said.

 

 

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