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NASA
By Brian Berger
Space News Staff Writer
posted: 07:23 pm ET
19 March 2001

Q: What constitutes a success for the Space Launch Initiative?

Goldin: Around the middle of this decade we will have high confidence in a whole variety of areas like aerostructures, propulsion, intelligent vehicle health monitoring and management, astronaut safety, integral fuel tanks ands structures. We will have retired the risk significantly so that we see a vehicle that’s on the order of 10 times safer for the vehicle and 100 times safer for the astronauts at about one-tenth of today’s cost so that we can really proceed forward.


"We are not going to wait five years to see if we fly something."
(pictured: Goldin in 1996)




Q: But how do you proceed forward? The underlying assumption is that the vehicle would have to be largely government funded.

Goldin: Let me define that so we don’t live in gaga land, because space cadets sometimes live in gaga land. There’s a difference between desiring to do something and wanting to do it. The underpinnings have fallen out of the commercial marketplace.

The Space Launch Initiative will be wildly successful if we so reduced the technical and financial risks that the commercial marketplaces come back to the point where there will be commercial entities that see an opportunity for providing commercial launch services. That’s desirable, but not necessary.

I don’t believe it will happen. I pretty well expect that by the middle of the decade things won’t have changed in the commercial sector, so that if the government has to go forward with the program, they’ll be able define the cost, the schedule and the expectations of performance.

Q: Is it time for NASA to begin making the case to the White House and Congress for a government-funded vehicle?

Goldin: We shouldn’t put our mouths in gear until our brains understand that it can be done. There’s a difference between wanting to make something happen and the real ability to do it. We learned our lessons. During the experimental programs we had a half decade ago, the industry told us, "this is going to be a commercial activity. We want you to sign a cooperative agreement with us, you stay out, and we will be totally in charge -- and you just give us a bottom-line contract to fly something."

We don’t want that anymore. We’ve set up what I call "inch stones." We are not going to wait five years to see if we fly something. Half year into the program, a year into the program, if its not meeting the inch stones, we modify direction. We are not going to wait until the end point.

Q: By killing X-33 and beginning the Space Launch Initiative is NASA now locked into more shuttle upgrades?

Goldin: I’m not ready to concede that. We are going to proceed with the Space Launch Initiative and it will be a real government-industry team. We are going to track the inch stones, we are going to watch the progress, we are going to modify our direction when we need to, we’re going to really do a lot on the technologies being developed by the private sector and we will see where we go.

Q: In the meantime, will NASA try to avoid making too much of an investment in the shuttle?

Goldin: This question of the space shuttle is not a matter of politics. We will invest whatever is necessary to keep that space station as safe as we can. We’re not going to let go of the space shuttle to make funds available to people having fun.

The awesome part of my job is the knowledge, the personal sense of responsibility I feel for lives of those astronauts. We will maintain that shuttle safer and safer. That is a given. When we see [that] there is a better vehicle, when we see there is an opportunity for that better vehicle, we will start investing in it.

But this isn’t politics, this isn’t finance. This is a commitment of this nation to look families of the shuttle astronauts in the eyes and say this machine is safe. When it comes to safety and you know there is something you can do, you have an obligation to do it.

Q: We understand that NASA needs to spend money on the shuttle for safety and supportability, but will NASA refrain from making larger, performance-oriented investments in such improvements as liquid flyback boosters?

Goldin: The beauty of the Space Launch Initiative is that it is going to develop technology that, if the USA company chooses to compete the second-generation launcher with the shuttle, they can feel free to apply it. I don’t think that at this point in time, it would be fair to go ahead with a flyback booster.

We need a level playing field, not a biased playing field. And I feel...and there are members of Congress, like [Rep.] Dana Rohrabacher, who really want a level playing field. I feel the administration feels strongly it should be a level playing field. And just saying, "Hey shuttle, here’s $5 billion or $10 billion, go build a flyback booster while we have the Space Launch Initiative going" -- I don’t think that’s a level playing field.

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